When I was a kid, I used
to pray every night for a new bike. Then I realized that God doesn't
work that
way. So instead I stole a bike and asked Him to forgive me.
Neither strategy worked
for four more banks, as the FDIC shut them down Friday (without finding
buyers
for two of them leading to losses for depositors who had balances
exceeding the
agency's insurance limits). Sun American’s (FL) deposits and
assets were
acquired by First-Citizens Bank (NC) at a cost to the FDIC of
$103
million. The Bank of Illinois was “absorbed” by Heartland
Bank
(IL) at a cost to the FDIC of about $54 million. Waterfield Bank
(MD),
at a cost to the FDIC $51 million, and Utah’s Centennial Bank
are now
being run by the FDIC, with the help of Zion’s Bank, at a cost of about
$96
million.
HUD broke out some
interesting news late last week, targeting FHA-approved loan
correspondents.
Last November HUD proposed that eliminating FHA approval for loan
correspondents. But sometimes these things take time, and nothing has
been
decided yet, so FHA is extending the deadline for the submission of
audited
financial statements for loan correspondents seeking renewal of their
FHA
lender approval for 2010. “For loan correspondents with a fiscal
year
end of December 31, and that would ordinarily be required to renew
their FHA
approval by March 31, 2010, HUD is providing these lenders with an
additional
30 days in which to submit their audited financial statements. Loan
correspondents that do not complete their renewal in accordance with
the
deadlines as specified above will no longer be FHA-approved as of the
effective
date of the final rule that follows the November 30, 2009, proposed
rule.”
Roll on, credit unions! Over 7,700 of them (including Navy Federal
Credit
Union, the world’s largest with $40 billion in assets) originated $95
billion in
residential mortgages in 2009, taking a 4.5% share of the nation’s
total
mortgage market. At the end of 2009, the credit union industry held
$314
billion in real estate loans in 2009, up 1.52% from 2008’s origination
level,
and apparently has a goal of 10% of the mortgage origination market by
2016. Credit
unions have increased total loan originations in 64 of the past 65
years,
according to credit union research firm Callahan & Associates. NFCU
said it
funded $6.2 billion in mortgages last year, and has committed $7
billion to
originate, purchase, and refinance mortgages with loan-to-values (LTVs)
of up
to 100% for its members this year.
If 2008 and 2009 were
known as companies going out of business and tightening underwriting
guidelines, 2010 runs the risk of being the year of buy backs.
Everything
points to FNMA & FHLMC putting back loans in mammoth proportions to
investors,
who in turn will look to the smaller originators for remuneration. Let’s
hope that smaller lenders have the resources not only to underwrite new
loans but in scrubbing old ones.
In a report from
Oppenheimer & Co., it is estimated that Freddie and Fannie (owned
by us,
the tax payers) could force large investors to buy back $21 billion
of home
loans this year, resulting in a loss to investors of $7 billion.
(This
follows a loss of $5 billion this year for the same reason.) And there
are
plenty of losses to share, since Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have lost
over $200
billion since 2007. Freddie Mac forced lenders to buy back $4.1 billion
of
mortgages last year, almost triple the amount in 2008, and had another
$4
billion outstanding loan-purchase demands that lenders had not met.
Fannie Mae
didn’t disclose the amount of its loan-repurchase demands. The banks
have to
buy back the loans at par, and then take an impairment, because
borrowers
usually have stopped paying and the price of the underlying home has
plunged.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pidnewsarchive&sidaJcAMaiuifjc
Quicken Loans’ call centers, according to its
CEO, have remained profitable during the mortgage crisis, posted record
results
in its last fiscal year, and weighed in at #14 in terms of originations
last
year. The company is privately held, but reported that its origination
more
than doubled in 2009 to $25 billion. Like so many other companies, the
company
is trying to increase its market share in 2010. If one excludes loans
made
through correspondent lenders or brokers, Quicken was #5.
Freedom Mortgage announced the discontinuation of all
Interest Only programs, with April
1 as the cut-off date. This includes FHLMC’s fixed rate IO and FNMA’s
fixed
rate IO products.
Are there patents in mortgage
banking? The Prieston Group’s application by its owner for a
patent on the
Method of Rating Lenders quantifying the risk associated with the
“lending practice
including fraud detection, organizational structure and management
among other
qualitative analytics was approved.” Prieston’s “Lender Rating will
increase
predictability of repurchase risk of any particular lender. One of the
many
uses of the Rating Methodology can be applied to determining potential
financial strengths and weaknesses of lenders.”
Freddie Mac published information regarding their buy
backs late last week. The good
news is that the company seems to have cleaned up delinquency pipelines
across
vintages, coupons, and products, and because it will disclose the
amount of
delinquencies to be bought out ahead of time on a go-forward basis
projecting Freddie’s
prepayment speeds seems much easier now. Of course the buyouts varied
significantly among originator/servicers and geographical areas, with
Countrywide leading the servicer pack and Florida being the worst hit
state.
This has significant implications on buyout rates going forward.
After coming out with
investor’s policies on following the FHA flipping waiver,
especially
concerning the amount of profit a seller can make, I received some
mail. One
wrote, “Telling some guy who is putting his money at risk how much he
can make is
bull. So some guy who buys a house in Detroit for $10,000 can only sell
it for
$12,000? Give me a break.”
Another industry veteran wrote,
“It is amazing how many creative ways the banks can find to sabotage
the credit
markets. Risk-takers all over the country sit on county court steps
fronting
their own cash to buy their troubled assets. They take on these risks
in the
pursuit of profit which can be realized after they clean up and stage
the
property…this so-called flip is a viable investment strategy that
serves the
bank’s interests. In many cases the investor’s markup on the flip is
offset by
the amount of rehabilitation put into the property or the
rehabilitation itself
is what inspires the buyer to pay that higher price.”
“I can see it now. The
listing sign will read, ‘For Sale. The most we’ll take is $250,000 and
not one
dollar more!’ So if you’re one of these investors you have a few
options: accept
the artificial markup caps because the reward is still worth the risk,
stop
rehabbing properties so you can keep the little markup they will allow,
invest
and hold your properties longer, or take your money elsewhere.”
Back to the economy! Last
week rates were moved around by economic data. By Friday rates had
improved
slightly, and locks appeared to be picking up a little, but then a
better-than-expected employment number pushed them higher. Fortunately
for
mortgage rates, the spread between them and the 10-yr Treasury (still a
benchmark, in spite of actual rates more closely tracking 5-yr and 7-yr
notes)
is the lowest it has ever been. This week won’t have as much to chew
on: the
Trade Balance & Jobless Claims will be released on Thursday, and
Retail
Sales, Consumer Sentiment, and Business Inventories come out Friday.
And on
Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday the US Government will be selling
securities
to finance its activities: $74 billion broken down by $40 billion in
three-year
notes, $21 billion in 10-year notes and $13 billion in 30-year bonds.
Ahead of
this the 10-yr yield is up to 3.72% and mortgage prices are worse
by between
.125 and .250 in price.
NEW UNDERWRITING UPDATES
All borrowers’ birth certificates will be required with pictures taken
in the
hospital with medical staff. Birth certificate with a live home
delivery will
not be eligible for first time home buyers.
Marriage certificate with bridal dress will be required if both husband
and
wife are required to qualify for the loan.
GFE will not require signature, but will require blood sampling from a
recognized
institution within three days of application.
DNA test will be
performed at closing to avoid any non-arms length transactions. Loan
funding
will be contingent upon satisfactory receipt of DNA results.
Verification of deposit will be acceptable only if Bank representative
is
present at the closing.
Copy of Pay stubs and W2 will only be acceptable through IRS and only
with a
wax-sealed envelope mailed directly to the lender.
Seven witnesses from the neighborhood
will be required as proof of primary residence in case borrower owns
more than
1 property.
All appraisers will be required to use masks and ear plugs at the time
of
inspection to avoid any personal influence by the borrower or broker
for the appraised
value.
In order to correctly calculate DTI and true housing ratio a list of
grocery
items, monthly usage and brand names will be required with receipts and
projected 12 month consumption chart.
Closing will not occur without loan officer presence at settlement and
loan
officer picture will be taken at the closing in a mug shot format with
loan
number. Picture should meet standard guideline of 2 X 2 inch in color
format
with one facing and one side view.
Loan officer picture will be attached to the Deed and note and will be
made
available for general public and security agencies in case borrower
defaults on
the loan.
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx. For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe/unsubscibe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com.)