Cassius
Clay preferred traveling in his own 1953 30-passenger bus. He said,
“One good thing
about a bus: If it breaks down, it doesn’t fall 30,000 feet”.
Ali
was also rumored to have the following conversation with a flight
attendant on
a trip where he couldn’t take a bus:
Flight
Attendant: “Buckle up, Champ”.
Ali:
“Superman don’t need no seatbelt”.
Flight
Attendant: “Superman don’t need no airplane, either.”
Some
in the fixed income markets have come to rely on the Fed as Superman.
It is
generally agreed that rates, especially mortgage rates, are
artificially low
based on their purchases which provide liquidity to the market.
Yesterday the
new purchase figures were released, and sure enough, the Fed
purchased another
$20 billion in agency mortgage backed securities over the past week,
bringing
its total net purchase to $925 billion and at this pace much greater
than
current origination volumes. And Chairman Bernanke was quoted as
saying, "My
colleagues at the Federal Reserve and I believe that accommodative
policies
will likely be warranted for an extended period."
That
being said, yesterday’s $12 billion 30-yr auction did not go as
well as the
previous two this week. Prices of this security had moved up (rates
down)
recently, which sometimes is a warning sign. It doesn’t help that the
Congressional Budget Office reported that our government now has a
deficit of
$1.4 trillion, which is the largest since 1945, and that gold
prices continue
to escalate. (My Dad’s mouth is worth more and more every day!) The
results of
the 30-year bond reopening were “sloppy”, coming in at a yield of
4.009% with a
bid/cover ratio of 2.37. The “indirect”
bids were 34.5% of the auction versus a recent average of 40%.
Besides
our president winning a Nobel Peace Prize, and the stock market being
down
slightly, the only news out this morning was the Trade Balance. The U.S. trade gap
narrowed unexpectedly in August as services trade pushed exports
slightly
higher and imports fell by a fractionally larger amount. Unfortunately
the
lousy 30-yr auction has carried into today somewhat, and we find
the 10-yr
yield up to 3.31% and mortgage prices worse between .125-.250.
So just how much agency loan
production is there?
Fixed rate MBS production totaled $117 billion for September, down $24
billion from
August. It worked out to about $5 billion a day, which has dropped
since.
30-yr production decreased by $18 billion from August. – the typical
pattern. Lenders
are, of course, hopeful for yet another refi wave for another month or
so if
rates hold, as those that missed the great rates in April & May
will have
another opportunity.
Well,
let me know when the investor changes stop so that I can open my eyes
again! In
reference to Citi’s list of unapproved originators, one person wrote,
“I think
originators should start a blacklist of investors who are not
acceptable and
will not receive any loans due to their ineligibility. The decision is
final,
and the list can change without notice. Woe to any investor who ends up
there
by mistake! And even more woe to any investor who ends up there with
good reason
- word tends to get around.”
Freddie
Mac relayed news that the Treasury Department published a “Supplemental
Directive” for the Making Home Affordable Program (MHA)
which hopefully will streamline the HAMP documentation requirements and
standardize the evaluation process used to determine if a borrower is
eligible
for a modification under HAMP. “All Freddie Mac Servicers must
immediately
begin following the new requirements in Supplemental Directive 09-07
when
working with eligible borrowers who have Freddie Mac-owned mortgages
and are 31
days or more delinquent. Additionally, Servicers are strongly
encouraged, but
not required, to use the new forms prior to March 1, 2010. They may be
downloaded from HMPadmin.com later
next week.”
Flagstar
changed their pricing,
adjusting their state-based tiers for FHA & VA
loans starting on the 19th. Most states had no change, but
some of
the larger areas (TX, CA, IL, NC, SC, etc.) will be slightly adjusted.
In
addition, Flagstar ratcheted down their pricing for FICO scores below
680, and
improved their pricing for borrowers with FICO’s above 700.
A
VP at Comerica Bank reminded me that Comerica is still doing jumbo
mortgage
loans for both new and existing Private Banking Clients who have at
least
$250,000 on deposit or have a balance on their commercial loan or
commercial
line of credit of at least $1 million. (Private banking clients
typically make
more than $250 per year and have over $1 million of assets to invest.) Unfortunately Comerica does not allow for
mortgage brokers to be paid a referral fee in escrow, and of course HUD
relationships
are carefully checked.
GMAC Bank’s correspondents found out that GAMC introduced the
Freddie Mac
Relief Refinance Mortgage - Open Access Conforming Fixed and ARM
mortgage
products. Any Freddie Mac approved lender is eligible, regardless
of
whether or not the Seller/Servicer is the servicer of record for the
mortgage
being refinanced; however, Freddie must be the investor on the existing
mortgage. The program allows for primary & second homes (1 unit)
and
investment properties, LP “accept”, 1-4 units, up to 105% LTV in some
cases.
Clients should be prepared to have Freddie’s loan number on the
existing
mortgage if it is a new Relief Refi - Open Access loan. And the
existing
mortgage must be current, regardless of LP decision. 0 x 30 in the last
12
months or, if the mortgage is seasoned < 12 months, since the Note
Date.
A couple lived near the ocean and used to walk the beach a lot.
One
summer they noticed a girl who was at the beach almost every day.
She wasn't unusual, nor was the travel bag she carried, except for one
thing;
she would approach people who were sitting on the beach, glance around
and then
speak to them.
Generally, the people would respond negatively and she would wander
off.
But occasionally someone would nod and there would be a quick exchange
of money
and something that she carried in her bag.
The couple assumed that she was selling drugs and debated calling the
cops, but
since they didn't know for sure, they decided to just continue
watching her.
After a couple of weeks the wife said, "Honey, have you ever noticed
that
she only goes up to people with boom boxes and other electronic
devices?"
He hadn't and said so.
Then she said, "Tomorrow I want you to get a towel and our big radio
and
go lie out on the beach. Then we can find out what she's really
doing."
Well, the plan went off without a hitch and the wife was almost hopping
up
& down with anticipation when she saw the girl talk to her husband
and then
leave.
The man then walked up the beach and met his wife at the road.
"Well, is she selling drugs?" she asked excitedly.
"No,
she's not," he said, enjoying this probably more than he should
have.
"Well, what is it then? What does she do?" his wife fairly
shrieked.
The man grinned and said, "She's a battery salesperson."
"Batteries?" cried the wife.
"Yes!" he replied.
"She Sells C Cells by the Seashore!"
Rob
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