Some days the best thing about my job is that
my chair spins! (Sad but
true.) But then along comes items like this. Who would have ever
thought FHA
compliance and underwriting issues would have made it to mainstream
videos – not
to be missed: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v®INcJZE1F8
The MBAA has been busy. First, the MBAA
announced
that they have formed a panel to make recommendations to HUD regarding
the Federal Housing
Administration (FHA) – but
probably not
in response to that video above. Sensing that the mortgage banking
industry
needs more abbreviations, the Council on the Future of FHA (CFF) will
be
chaired by Daniel Crockett, President, CEO, and Chairman of Franklin
American
Mortgage Company. “The council will be comprised of a small group of
leaders in
the mortgage banking industry, with representatives from large and
small
companies.” One can look at their website for a list of 25 or so “who’s
who” on
the panel: http://www.mbaa.org/default.htm
Second, according to the Wall Street Journal,
the
MBAA is apparently are trying to sell their own headquarters at
1331 L
Street in Washington DC. They bought the property for $76 million in
May of
2008.
Locks desks across the land saw their third straight week of lower
applications. Purchase applications were down about 5%, back to May
levels.
Refi numbers were down about 16% and back to August levels. Overall,
applications
were down about 12%, and at this point much of the focus may be on
first time
home buyers trying to close ahead of the November 30th
deadline –
whose extension is being debated in Congress.
CitiMortgage, who has been slowly putting
correspondent clients back on
their roster, came out with several updates. For example,
starting Monday they are following the recent FHA changes and updating
their
policy on analyzing the credit on borrowers doing a short sale/short
payoff for
their previous loan (“If short sale occurred on a government insured
loan it
should be considered a foreclosure when a claim has been paid and is
subject to
the 3-year requirement”) In addition, “If a short sale occurred on a
conventional loan and the loan was paid as agreed prior to the short
sale then
it is not considered a foreclosure.” Citi’s updates go on to address
non-purchasing spouses in community property states, borrowers
re-entering the
workforce (“Borrowers who are re-entering the workforce and have an
employment
and income history that covers less than the 2 most recent years must
be with
their current employer for a minimum of 6 months and must have a
documented
2-year work history prior to the previous absence from employment”),
and
self-employed income classification.
Citi also updated their Declining Market
list, dropping 56 counties but
adding 128, and addressed the fact that, at this point, the temporary
loan
limits are set to expire on December 31 (“Loans over the
Permanent High Cost Limits (i.e. > $625,500 for a conventional 1
unit) must
be closed by December 31, 2009 and purchased by January 29, 2010.”)
Flagstar announced that, effective immediately,
lender
paid mortgage insurance (LPMI) is only eligible with Genworth and RMIC.
Along
those lines, Flagstar Bank updated their LPMI price adjustments on all
eligible
products for specific LTV and FICO buckets, including conforming fixed,
Flex97,
and conforming ARM’s.
Durable Goods (items lasting longer than 3
years, like my son’s
toothbrush) has already come out this morning, rising 1% in September
as
expected. This was the second
increase in the last
three months, and but compared with a year ago orders are down about 24
percent. The only scheduled news out for later today is New Home Sales,
but we
had plenty yesterday to chew on – and both bonds and stocks improved
somewhat
(bonds more than stocks). The Case-Shiller Index saw August as its
third
straight month of price improvement for the bulk of the twenty cities
in its
survey and up 1% from July. Dallas showed the smallest drop since
August
2008, while Las Vegas showed a 30 percent decrease, the most of any
city.
The biggest month-over-month gain was in San Francisco, which showed a
2.6%
gain. Of course, economists want to see flat-to-rising prices through
the
winter to be sure that housing is rebounding, but skeptics point to
unemployment and commercial real estate as two big hurdles to this
happening.
In addition to that news from yesterday, the
Conference Board’s
Consumer Confidence number declined in October from September’s levels,
which was unexpected and did not help the equity markets. The Treasury
sold its
$44 billion of 2-yr notes, and is slated to sell $41 billion of 5-yr
notes
today ($31 billion of 7-yr notes tomorrow). The 2-yr auction went
well,
with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.63, much higher than average. The
results helped
fixed-income securities, and the yield on the 10-yr went back below
3.50% into
the 3.40’s. Mortgage prices gamely tagged along, with most investor
interest
being in the lower coupons. This morning the 10-yr yield is back to
3.45%
and mortgages are a shade better than yesterday afternoon.
A new teacher was trying to make use of her psychology courses.
She started her class by saying, “Everyone who thinks they're less
intelligent than the rest of the class, stand up!”
After a few seconds, Little Johnny stood up.
The teacher asked, “Do you think you're less intelligent, Little
Johnny?”
“No ma'am, but I hate to see you standing there all by yourself!”
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx. For
archived
commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe/unsubscibe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com.)