What do Bank USA, National Association of
Phoenix; California National
Bank of Los Angeles; San Diego National Bank; Pacific National Bank of
San
Francisco; Park National Bank of Chicago; Community Bank of Lemont,
Illinois;
North Houston Bank; Madisonville State Bank of Madisonville, Texas; and
Citizens National Bank, of Teague, Texas have in common? Their
deposits and
assets all became part of US Bancorp after being shut down by the FDIC
on
Friday. The FDIC and taxpayers (in a roundabout way) are out $2.5
billion.
USB, who has not been immune to their stock sliding almost 20% in the
last
year, has repaid almost $7 billion in TARP money. Friday they added 153
branches with combined assets of $19.4 billion and deposits of $15.4
billion.
And what do Eddie Bauer Holdings and Dunkin’
Donuts have in common?
They, along with literally one million other businesses, have both
received
loans from commercial lender CIT Group. CIT filed for Chapter 11
bankruptcy
protection, which analysts say will help bondholders and customers
but not
stockholders and taxpayers. Apparently we’ve put about $2.33 billion of
our
money into CIT, which is now the largest firm to go bankrupt after
getting a
federal bailout. None of CIT’s operating subsidiaries, including
Utah-based CIT
Bank, were included in the filing, CIT said in a statement.
The US government
ended its program of buying Treasury securities on Thursday after
hitting the
$300 billion mark. In a
similar vein, the Bank of Japan will
stop buying corporate debt by the end of the year, as there seems to be
no
further need to prop up those markets. The mortgage-backed market,
however, is
still reaping the benefits of the US government purchasing those bonds,
with
several more months to go. Keep in mind that at some point it will end,
and the
markets know this. Occasionally rates will shoot up for a day, and
someone will
blame "the eventual ending of the mortgage purchase program". This
makes little sense, as it is well known by investors - but there is
hope for an
extension if the Fed doesn't see secondary market interest.
Although we won’t have the numbers for a few
days, locks desks
picked up their activity late last week. Of course this resulted in
some
selling pressure on mortgages, although the Fed has been in buying and
a few
dealers report some bank buying of mortgage-backed securities. It seems
like
supply is running between $3-5 billion a day, and Fed buying has about
matched
it.
At the end of last week most eyes were on the
stock market, which, on
Thursday, had its largest increase in three months, but then had its
largest
decrease in four months on Friday. The Chicago Purchasing Manager’s
survey hit
a 13 month high and beat expectations, but the University of Michigan
Consumer
Sentiment survey dropped from 73.5 to 70.6.
We have yet
another full slate of economic news this week. We begin slowly
with "second tier" numbers like Construction Spending and the ISM
Index today and Factory Orders tomorrow. Thursday we have the ISM
services
number, along with the Employment Cost Index and Jobless Claims. The
biggest
economic event this week will either be the Fed meeting on Wednesday or
the
unemployment data on Friday. So although
overnight rates, which don’t directly impact mortgage rates, should
stay put, the
Fed may indicate future changes in monetary policy. Nonfarm Payroll is
expected
to drop 165K jobs for October. In addition, the ISM Manufacturing index
and
Pending Home Sales will come out today. ISM Services will be released
on
Wednesday. Productivity, Construction Spending, and Factory Orders will
round
out the busy schedule. The Treasury will announce the size of upcoming
auctions
on Wednesday as well. Ahead of all that the 10-yr is at 3.41% and
mortgages
are worse by about .125.
A story came out saying that “The National
Association of Realtors
thanked Congress for speedy action in passing a congressional
resolution…that would
extend the current higher Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA loan limits
through
2010. The present loan limits would expire at the end of 2009 and
revert to
previous lower limits.” The resolution is not a law - it would
extend the
present conventional loan limits for Fannie and Freddie through the
2010
calendar year at 125 percent of local median home sales prices, up to a
maximum
of $729,750 in high-cost areas. This legislation was approved by
both the
House and Senate late last week that extends the higher loan limits
currently
in place for agency mortgages. The higher loan limit measure was
attached to a
budget and appropriations bill that was approved by the House with a
vote of
247-178 and passed by the Senate just hours later, 72-28.
Although there is widespread support in
Congress for extending the life
of a home-buyer tax credit scheduled to expire at the end of this
month, there
is nothing to report. Hopefully the entire industry doesn’t hinge on
the
result, but an extension is expected soon. Congress still hasn't
finished
work on the legislation. As many who have survived because of it
know, the
credit amount is 10% of a home's purchase price, with a maximum of
$8,000 for a
single taxpayer and a married couple filing a joint return. Eligible
taxpayers
will get the credit even if they don't owe any tax, or if the credit is
more
than the tax they owe for 2008 or 2009.
I had not heard of “Financial Mortgage USA Inc.” until the U.S.
Department of Housing and Urban Development took action against this
reverse
mortgage lender in Hawaii. “HUD's Mortgagee Review Board wants to
permanently
withdraw the HUD/Federal Housing Administration approval of Financial
Mortgage
USA Inc.” after the company failed to implement an FHA-required quality
control
plan and separate its lending operations from those of its affiliated
insurance
company. But now, supposedly, their phones don’t work…
On Friday I mentioned some changes that "US
Bank" was making
in their “declining markets” LTV's and states. I was reminded that US
Bank
has two different divisions, and that US Bank Home Mortgage made
the
changes. U.S. Bank Consumer Finance, Mortgage Wholesale Division,
handles
mostly portfolio product, as opposed to USBHM which is focused on
conforming/agency product. USB's Consumer Finance group has the
states
divided into three tiers, with Tier One has a 75% cap on LTV (CA, NV,
AZ, FL,
UT, OR, WV, DC, and HI), Tier Two has a 80% cap on LTV for 2nd
position, 85%
cap on everything else, except first position refinance can still go to
90%
(ID, IL, MI, NJ, NM, RI, and WA), and then "Non Tier" states have an
85% cap on LTV (all lien positions) except first position refinance can
still
go to 90% LTV. I apologize for any confusion.
GMAC came out with some FHA & VA news late last week.
“Regardless of
AUS decision, the minimum FICO is 640 for purchases and refinances and
IRRRl’s”
along with credit qualifying streamline refinances. The following are
no longer
eligible: Non credit qualifying streamline refinances including
transactions
with or without an appraisal, manufactured homes, non-traditional
credit – is
defined as a credit history having no established traditional credit
trade
lines or minimal established traditional trade lines that are not
sufficient to
generate a FICO score. All loans with a credit score must meet the
minimum
score of 640.” November 3rd is the date this takes effect.
A guy walks into a bar with a dog. The bartender says, "We don't allow
dogs in here."
The guy replies, "Wait a minute. This is a talking dog. If I can get
him
to answer a question, can I get a free drink?"
The bartender thinks for a minute and says, "Well, ok. Go ahead."
"Okay, Rex," the guys says to the dog, "what’s on the top of a
house?"
"Roof!" the dog replies.
"Oh, come on..." the bartender responds. "All dogs go
‘roof’."
"No, wait," the guy says. He asks the dog "what does sandpaper
feel like?"
"Rough!" the dog answers.
The bartender gives a condescending blank stare. He is losing his
patience.
"No, hang on," the guy says. "This one will amaze you."
He turns and asks the dog, "Who, in your opinion, was the greatest
baseball player of all time?"
"Ruth!" goes the dog.
With that the bartender, having seen enough, boots them out of his bar
and onto
the street.
And the dog turns to the guy and says, "Maybe I shoulda said
DiMaggio?"
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx. For
archived
commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe/unsubscibe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com.)