One top ex-secondary guy wrote to me and
said, "Things I sort of
miss hearing in mortgage banking: "What are rates gonna do tomorrow?"
"Why is IndyMac a point better than we are?" Anything associated with
"Did you hear what they said on CNBC this morning.......?"
"How come I'm losing money on the hedge?" And "See that rep over
there? We ended up naked in a hot tub at a conference back in '94." I
tell you, sometimes this commentary writes itself.
Right now, companies all over the US are talking about next Friday.
Either the
companies are closed, and the employees have the day off to go spur the
economy, or companies are open. Those that are open may have low
seniority
people at the desks, or people who don't care about taking the day off
and
would rather "bite the bullet" and come in for the day after
Thanksgiving. US Postal service is in effect, and therefore it counts
as a
rescission day. But lock desks, and loan sales, will slow down next
week
with the holiday coming up.
Maybe folks are out there thinking about
their upcoming holiday
parties, assuming lay-offs have not been too dramatic and they're
actually
going to have one. So here is one for you men out there: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/8367141.stm
Will the
jumbo market ever come back?
I, for
one, believe that it will. Obviously many banks offer the product
through their
retail branches – it earns them a very nice spread versus their cost of
deposits. Things are a little iffier through the correspondent channel,
but
moving in the right direction. Chase,
for example, offers non-agency product to eligible Chase clients.
Their
maximum loan amount is $2 million with a maximum LTV/CLTV of 80% and
only for a
primary residence. It is available for purchases and cash-out/no
cash-out
refinances with a fully executed 4506-T. Chase’s correspondent clients
must be
approved by the Chase Customer
Management Group prior
to participation, be approved to do business with Chase Correspondent
for at
least one year and minimum volume of $6MM for the previous 12 months,
have a minimum
audited HUD adjusted net worth of $1MM, and have a 12-month
Conventional 90+
active ongoing delinquency <100% of channel average. Not everyone
fits, but
still, it’s a step.
GMAC Bank
Correspondent Funding
followed suit on the 2010 conforming loan
limits, so as determined by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
they remain
unchanged. The maximum general conforming loan limit for one-unit
properties
will remain at $417,000. The maximum high-cost area conforming loan
limits have
been extended for 2010 originations.
Builder D.R. Horton, based in Fort
Worth, said it lost “only”
$232 million in its fiscal fourth quarter, compared to a loss of $800
million a
year ago. Inventory write down costs and other expenses totaled $192.6
million
pretax in the latest quarter. And, as with most other builders, sales
orders
during the quarter were better than last year, but more foreclosures,
high
inventories and rising unemployment remain a challenge for the industry.
What has
SunTrust been up to lately?
Quite a bit! Beginning yesterday SunTrust
told clients that “if a loan is submitted/resubmitted to Desktop
Underwriter
(DU) and the loan is ineligible for the DU Refi Plus loan program based
on the
guidance specified in this bulletin, the loan may be submitted to DU
and be
processed as a standard Limited Cash-Out Refinance (Rate/Term) by
exercising
the DU Refi Plus Opt Out Option.” This option provides the ability to
“submit a
loan to DU and forgo DU Refi Plus eligibility analysis. When the DU
Refi Plus
Opt Out Option is exercised, DU analyzes the loan as a standard Limited
Cash-Out Refinance (Rate/Term) transaction.” Earlier this week SunTrust
eliminated the VA Interest Rate Reduction Refinance (IRRRL)
transactions, as
well as the FHA and VA ARM loan
programs,
and all FHA
Streamline Refinance programs. SunTrust reminded clients that all FHA Streamline Refinance transactions
MUST have a FHA Case Number
assigned prior to November 16, 2009, as well as, be locked prior to
last
Monday.
It was a somewhat interesting market
yesterday. The stock market sold
off, mostly blamed on profit taking, and Leading Economic Indicators
only being
+.3% instead of the +.4% that was expected. (Forget that it was
balanced out by
the Philly Fed survey coming in much stronger than expected – stocks
and bonds
chose to ignore that one this time around given that manufacturing in
the
Philadelphia area might not be indicative of the entire US economy.)
LEI were
up 1% in September, so generally speaking it is pointing to a recovery
in the
future.
In the fixed income markets, mortgage-backed
securities were a little
“wider” yesterday, meaning that their rates went up slightly relative
to
Treasury rates. It was announced that NY Federal Reserve would use its
own
staff on “select days” in executing MBS purchases instead of being in
the
market every day, so one can expect more choppiness on those days. And
the
Treasury announced next week’s auctions for Monday, Tuesday, and
Wednesday: $44
billion in 2-yr notes, $42 billion in 5-yr notes, and $32 billion in
7-yr notes
for a total of $118 billion.
The Fed noted that they had purchased another
$16 billion of MBS’s
during the week ending 11/18 after adding $13.5
billion during the previous holiday-shortened week.
For those keeping score at home, year-to-date net purchases of agency
MBS is
now at $1.023 trillion. If the average loan size is $250,000,
and I am
not saying it is, that means that they have bought almost 4.1 million
home
loans! They have been buying securities mostly made up of 4.75-5.625%
30-yr
mortgages. There is no substantive economic news today, and the
10-yr is
hovering around a yield of 3.34% and mortgage prices are about
unchanged.
My comments
about short sales versus foreclosures brought some very welcome
comments. “With FHA, as long
as you’ve paid your mortgage through the entire short
sale process on time and that you did not short an FHA mortgage, you
can obtain
a new FHA mortgage without a waiting period – in other words, if you
short a
conventional mortgage and had always paid on time, FHA will not treat
it the
same as a foreclosure which has a 3 year waiting period. It is 48
months from
foreclosure for Fannie and Freddie. It is 36 months for FHA. In all
situations,
an Approval from the AUS would overrule this (if the lender is OK with
that).”
“The problem we’ve seen with short sales is the approval process of
either the
2nd position lender – who basically is getting nothing – but
given
this is not a foreclosure process, their approval is required, or a
home equity
line of credit lender – where the borrow is still liable. And for any
PMI
company – what recourse do they have against the borrower and what
hurdles do
they face in approving a short sale and maintaining any recourse rights
they
may have or must they do their own property appraisal to make sure they
don’t
want to step in and prevent the short sale?” Also, “One of the possible
benefits I’m seeing from short sales and how long they’re taking is
that with a
firming market price-wise off the bottom, the price we agreed upon 6
months ago
is below market now – so we’re realizing a bit of a benefit. Realtors,
who rely on transaction volume, hate short sales. Realtors, like
mortgage
brokers, are working twice as hard for a third of the money per
transaction. By the time we’re done with this economic cycle, both
industries will have done substantial culling.”
Like most of America I’ve gained a little
weight lately, so I decided
that I needed to figure out an exercise routine. I happened upon this
one:
“Begin by standing on a comfortable surface,
where you have plenty of
room at each side. With a 5-LB potato sack in each hand, extend your
arms straight
out from your sides and hold them there as long as you can. Try to
reach a full
minute, and then relax. Each day you'll find that you can hold this
position
for just a bit longer.
After a couple of weeks, move up to 10-LB potato sacks. Then try 50-LB
potato
sacks and then eventually try to get to where you can lift a 100-LB
potato sack
in each hand and hold your arms straight for more than a full minute.
After you feel confident at that level, put a potato in each sack.
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx. For
archived
commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe/unsubscibe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com.)