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Feb. 18, 2010: Why rates moved Wednesday; news from GMAC, BofA, Fannie; good FHA tips from CitiMortgage; quote from originator
Rob Chrisman
"Suppose They Gave
a War and Nobody Came" was a 1970 movie with Ernest Borgnine and Tony
Curtis (both of whom are still with us). What if the Treasury gave an
auction
and nobody bid, aside from Primary Dealers who must bid? That is one of
the
fears that drove prices down and rates up yesterday, especially with
the news
that China fell behind Japan to become
the second-biggest holder of US Treasuries. That is not a good
thing, and
is an indication that the Chinese have been acting on recent complaints
about US
policy by unloading US debt. China was a net seller of Treasuries by
$34
billion, bringing its total holdings down to $755 billion from $790
billion in
November. Money talks.
Treasury prices went south yesterday after
this
China news came out, the positive data on the housing market, and the
apparent
progress on Grecian debt
(Treasuries don’t
need to be the “safe haven”.) . More important than numbers reflecting
last
month’s economic climate, however, were the Fed minutes. "A few
suggested
that the pace of asset sales, and potentially of purchases, could be
adjusted
over time in response to developments in the economy and the evolution
of the
economic outlook". Does this mean that the Federal Open Market
Committee
will adjust asset sales and purchases rather than the overnight Fed
Funds rate?
Perhaps!
Traders saw a
higher-than-recently-normal amount of selling from originators
Wednesday, which
made mortgage rates move a little more than Treasury rates toward the
downside.
The minutes from the late-January
meeting revealed that members debated how and when to shrink the
central bank’s
$2.26 trillion balance sheet, with some policy makers pushing to start
selling
assets in the “near future.” Officials unanimously agreed that Fed
assets
and banks’ excess cash will need to shrink “substantially over time”
and return
the central bank’s holdings to just Treasuries, but obviously there is
concern
about upsetting the stability of the markets.
Today we have another
large amount of economic news with which to grapple. We have already
had the Producer
Price Index and Jobless Claims; still ahead are the Philly Fed and
Leading
Economic Indicators. The PPI showed that inflation picked up more than
expected: +1.4%, with the core rate +.3%. Year-over-year the PPI was
+4.6% and
the core rate was +1.0%, roughly as expected. Jobless Claims rose 31k
to
473,000. On this news stocks moved down,
and rates improved somewhat: the yield on the 10-yr is chopping around
3.71%
and mortgage prices are a tad better.
Generally speaking locks
desks around the nation were a little slower last week. Yesterday the
MBAA
reported that applications from last
week were down about 2%, with purchases down 4% and refi’s down about
1%.
Refi’s are still amounting to about 69% of the mortgage activity (what would your volumes look like if refi’s
went below 50%?), and ARM loans are still less than 5%. Yesterday
morning,
after the Starts & Permits number, we learned that in January
Industrial
Production was +.9% and Capacity Utilization went from 71.9% to 72.6%,
both
relatively strong numbers.
GMAC Bank Correspondents now are using GMAC’s
“Occupancy
Certification” form. For a
purchase
transaction the borrower(s) certifies as to their intent to occupy the
subject
property as a primary residence or second home, and for a refinance
transaction, the borrower(s) certifies that the subject property is not
currently listed for sale or under contract to be listed for sale. “The
completion of this form is recommended for all primary residences and
second
homes, however may be required, at the discretion of the GMAC Bank
Correspondent Funding underwriter, to be completed and signed by the
borrower(s) prior to closing.”
Bank of America Home Loan correspondent reminded clients that the last day it will
purchase
loans under the old Fannie DU 7.1 guidelines (FICO less than 620,
expanded
approval, etc.) is February 26th. Also remember that the last day BofA
will
purchase temporary buydowns for IO and non-owner loans (which
it ceased offering effective February 12) will be March 29th.
(Qualification for temporary buydowns means using the note rate for
fixed rate loans
and for ARM's borrowers must qualify using the greater of the Note rate
or fully
indexed rate). BofA also tweaked its Servicing Released Premiums
(SRP's) and
agency pricing slightly. For example, starting two days ago the price
adjustment for FHA/VA (including Rural Housing and Sec 184) with credit
scores
from 620 to 639 increased to 37.5 basis points, and FHA Streamline
refinances
below a 640 credit score have been removed entirely. Lastly, Bank of
America
Home Loan reminded clients that the FHA no longer limits the
origination fee to
one percent, but that lender fees should be fair and reasonable, and
will
monitor fees to ensure borrowers are not overcharged, and that BofA is
following HUD's "appraiser independence" directives (only
non-commissioned employees or third parties may select the appraiser,
lenders
may use an AMC, loan production staff may not have any substantive
communication - somewhat subjective - with the appraiser, etc.).
CitiMortgage did originators a
favor by
publishing a fine list of tips for processing FHA loans. If everyone followed these,
the world
would be a better place. It is a long list, so I put in about half
today, with
the next half tomorrow.
For
documentation:
The 92900A
must be fully executed, signed by all parties and completed per HUD
requirements.
The initial
92900A, page 2, section V must be signed and dated.
Page 1 of
the initial 92900A must be fully executed and dated by the lender.
Underwriter
must complete Page 3 of the Final 92900A at the bottom of the page
regarding
having a “financial interest” in the transaction.
Source of
Funds
Verify and document the source of funds used for the down payment and
borrower
closing costs.
Funds must
come from sources acceptable to HUD. For example, gift funds require a
gift
letter and evidence of receipt, transfer, and donors, ability, deposit
slips,
wire transfers and/or certified checks evidencing withdrawal and
deposit for
borrower and donor. For bank Statements / Retirement Funds / Stocks /
Bonds /
Mutual Funds / Money Markets, provide all pages to asset documentation,
explain
and document any large deposits, liquidation documentation is required
for all
401k, IRA, etc. withdrawals.
Borrower Credit
Analyze
borrower credit and document explanations regarding past delinquencies,
outstanding collection accounts, and credit inquiries.
All credit
inquiries within the past 90 days must be addressed and verified.
Is borrower
a heavy credit user, compare balances to limits.
Include all
debts in the qualifying ratios.
Ensure
credit information is consistent with other loan file documentation.
Compare SSN
to W2, tax transcripts, etc.
(Continued tomorrow.)
Fannie announced that its DU Version 8.0
April Update Release Notes are now available. “Release Notes are available
for the Desktop Originator/Desktop
Underwriter Version 8.0 April Update, which will be implemented the
weekend of
April 17, 2010.” The version coming out provide additional information
for DU
Refi Plus loans, some DU potential red flag messages for social
security number
and occupancy verification requirements will be changed to Verification
messages that must be fulfilled before delivering the loan, and the new
version
will “be able to underwrite this community lending product, and will
issue a
message on all HFA Affordable Advantage loan casefiles reminding
lenders that
they must have approval to deliver these loans to Fannie Mae.”
Real words from a real agent: “I have been originating
residential loans for 26 years, and originating
a loan has never been so time consuming and labor intensive. I work
three times
as hard for one-third the income, literally. The mortgage companies and
banks
now expect the originator to originate the loan (I like this part the
best and
spend the least amount of my day doing it) set up the loan (open
escrow, order
credit and appraisal, input loan (completely- error free) into the loan
origination software, process the loan (complete the disclosures,
collect
signatures on disclosures, collect income and asset documentation from
the borrower,
underwrite the file manually and electronically (DU or LP), and close
the loan
(follow up on additional conditions created by an “underwriter”). Of
course the
“underwriter” takes out his/her checklist and finds fault with
something we
have or haven’t done (real or imagined) to justify their existence by
conditioning for additional pieces of paper that do nothing for anyone
(they
blame it on the investor). There is really no such thing as an
underwriter
anymore. If DU or LP say no, it’s a no. I find it almost laughable
that
the set up department doesn’t set up (they police the disclosures) and
processing department doesn’t process (they submit the completed
package to the
underwriter) and the underwriters don’t underwrite. There is no fun
left in the
business for originators. It’s sad but true. The parts of the
business
I truly love and excel at - figuring out how to market/originate loans
and
helping people realize the “American Dream”- are the parts I spend the
least
amount of my day doing.”
The meaning of “potentially”
and
“realistically”:
A young boy went up to his
father and asked
him, "Dad, what is the difference between ‘potentially' and
'realistically'?"
The father thought for a moment, then
answered, "Go ask your mother if she would sleep with Brad Pitt for a
million dollars. Then ask your sister if she would sleep with Brad Pitt
for a
million dollars, and then ask your brother if he'd sleep with Brad Pitt
for a
million dollars. Come back and tell me what you learn from that."
So the boy went to his mother and asked,
"Would you sleep with Brad Pitt for a million dollars?"
The mother replied, "Of course, I would!
We could really use that money to fix up the house and send you kids to
a great
university!"
The boy then went to his sister and asked,
"Would you sleep with Brad Pitt for a million dollars?"
The girl replied, "Oh, good heavens! I
LOVE Brad Pitt and I would sleep with him in a heartbeat. Are you nuts?"
The boy then went to his brother and asked,
"Would you sleep with Brad Pitt for a million dollars?"
"Of course," the brother replied.
"Do you know how much a million bucks would buy?"
The boy pondered the answers for a few days
and then went back to his dad.
His father asked him, "Did you find out
the difference between 'potentially' and 'realistically'?"
The boy replied, "Yes, 'Potentially', you
and I are sitting on three million dollars, but 'realistically', we're
living
with two ‘tramps’ and a future congressman."
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx. For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe/unsubscibe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com.)
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