"Talk
is cheap,
because supply always exceeds demand".
For the week that just ended for the Fed,
their MBS purchases totaled
$17.6 billion, and they sold $6.6 billion, netting out that magical $11
billion
weekly total. They are right on target to end this in about a month.
After
March 31st, the program ceases. People will still buy homes, mortgages
will
continue to be originated, but will some of the dire production
predictions
come true? Everyone in the business is hoping not, but the large
investors
would prefer not to wait to find out. Big investors have cut profit
margins
and prices, resulting in some very good (relatively speaking) mortgage
rates
for borrowers. Investors, account executives, production managers may
be
already worried that they won't hit their numbers for the year, and
appear to
be doing what they can to move a little ahead of the pack prior during
the
first quarter. Because after March 31st, it's anyone's ball game.
And keep
in mind that any loans that fund and are placed into securities
settling in
March had better close sooner than later due to lag times. Make hay
while the
sun shines.
Should foreclosures be run by the government?
Lordy lordy… the Obama
administration may expand efforts to ease the housing crisis by banning
all foreclosures
on home loans unless they have been screened and rejected by the
government’s
Home Affordable Modification Program. Bloomberg reported that the
proposal
was reviewed by lenders last week on a White House conference call,
“prohibits
referral to foreclosure until borrower is evaluated and found
ineligible for
HAMP or reasonable contact efforts have failed,” according to a
Treasury
Department document outlining the plan. At present, lenders can
initiate
foreclosure proceedings on any loan that hasn’t been submitted for HAMP
eligibility. Under current HAMP rules, foreclosure litigation can
proceed while
borrowers are under review for the program or even in a trial
modification. The
proposed changes would prohibit lenders from initiating new foreclosure
actions
before loan screening by HAMP and would require lenders to halt
existing proceedings
for borrowers once they are in a trial repayment plan.
The vast majority of jumbo loans are
on homes located within 30
miles of either coastline or 1 mile of a lake or river. (You like that
statistic? I just made it up – but it makes sense.) Anyway, jumbo loans
represent a pretty small proportion of overall lending, which is one of
the
reasons why that type of product carries little “weight” among
politicians. But
there is some hope out there: http://www.latimes.com/la-fi-jumbo-loans24-2010feb24,0,7117921.story?utm
If you want to be loan originator in Oregon,
or already are one, you
should know that Oregon now added real estate lenders in to the
Unlawful
Trade Practices Act. So what? Now brokers have individual personal
liability to lawsuits from borrowers with punitive damages, with no
time limits
on filing action and a “low bar to pass” to sue according to one
source.
“Unconscionable acts” is very loosely defined in their UTPA. Case law
in UTPA
in Oregon has shown the courts use “known or should have known” as the
bar for
liability. And oh, don’t forget that the SAFE Act takes affect August 1st
in Oregon that has loan officers liable for Class C Felony, Restitution
Orders
to the consumer from the Director of DCBS, $25,000 fines and a private
right of
action for “ascertainable loses” for 3 years after closing the loan.
The FDIC doesn’t only shut down
bankrupt bank at the end of the
week. It also produces a “quarterly banking profile” which “provides
the
earliest comprehensive summary of financial results for all
FDIC-insured
institutions.” Don’t be the last one on your block to see it: http://www2.fdic.gov/qbp/index.asp. The FDIC has also issued
the public list of institutions that it has scheduled for a Community
Reinvestment Act (CRA) examination during the second quarter of 2010.
“The
examination schedule reflects the effects of an institution's size and
CRA
rating on examination frequency. Absent reasonable cause, an
institution with
$250 million or less in assets and a CRA rating of Satisfactory can be
subject
to a CRA examination no more frequently than once every 48 months.
Absent
reasonable cause, an institution with $250 million or less in assets
and a CRA
rating of Outstanding can be subject to a CRA examination no more
frequently
than once every 60 months.” The quarterly list is available on the
Internet at www.fdic.gov. And lastly, if you want
to spend some time in New Orleans and have a hankerin’ to learn the ins
and
outs of the CRA program, head down there between March 14 and 18 for
the National
Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference. “The agenda will cover
how CRA
loans, investments, and services can have a positive and lasting impact
in low-
and moderate-income communities.” http://www.frbsf.org/community/conference2010.html
Wells Fargo issued another “Risk Advisory Bulletin” of
recommendations, not requirements, for the clients. (By the way, if
large
investors are sued in a class action lawsuit by borrowers over RESPA
& GFE violations
that happen during the “leniency period”, do you think that HUD will
help in
their defense? It would seem that large investors think not, and
therefore are preferring
to “toe the line” when it comes to GRE issues regardless of HUD’s
official
policy of forgiveness.)
It seems that WF is finding addendums and
additional pages to the GFE in the closed loan file when the loan file
is
submitted to Wells Fargo for purchase. HUD addendums or additional
pages to the
GFE are not allowed - refer to HUD RESPA FAQ, section titled GFE –
General,
page 9, question 27 for guidance on what is allowed. Wells tells
clients that handwritten
corrections or changes to the GFE “may prohibit the purchase of your
loan due
to our inability to clearly distinguish what took place in the
transaction of
the loan (e.g. were the updates due to errors vs. a change to fees?)”,
so when
needing to make changes to the GFE as a result of a Changed
Circumstance, WF suggests
clients “re-disclosure using a new GFE rather than providing
handwritten
changes to the original. Be sure to include related Changed
Circumstance
documentation.” Lastly, the investor reminds customers that they should
keep
old-format GFE’s out of the file: “use of the old-format GFE at any
point in
the origination process for applications taken in 2010 is not
acceptable under
the new RESPA requirements — even if a document preparation provider is
including this in the closing package material” and that “only GFEs
provided to
the borrower for disclosure or re-disclosure are included in the closed
loan
file.
GFE Disclosure and Re-disclosure.”
In an interesting development, money managers
who buy mortgages were
intent on buying the higher coupon securities Thursday. Maybe those
prices have
worsened enough, although higher coupon
agency bonds have been hit hardest because they have been trading above
their
face value, or par, but the agency plans to pay par when it buys them
back.
The supply of mortgages has certainly increased, so expect that it is
coming
from higher lock volumes – perhaps due to that aggressive pricing. See
how it
works? But in general mortgage, and fixed income securities, improved
in price
yesterday on concerns over the credit issues in Greece and the
unemployment
picture painted by the hike in Jobless Claims. The $32 billion 7-yr
auction was
taken in stride. And who cares about Fed Funds? Yesterday the futures
market
for November priced in a 58% chance
for Fed to boost the federal-funds target rate to 0.5% at the 11/2
meeting,
down from a 66% chance Wednesday and 100% from last Friday.
It is pretty slow out there, or just my
imagination? Hopefully it is just my imagination. Regardless, if you
write
back, don’t look for a quick response – I am heading off to The Great
State of
Texas today – more specifically Austin and San Antonio – for some
sight-seeing
and exercise. That said, so far this morning the financial markets do
seem a
little slow ahead of the revised GDP number and Existing Home Sales. The
10-yr yield is at 3.63%, and mortgages are roughly unchanged.
His request approved, the CNN News
photographer quickly used a cell phone to call the local airport to
charter a
flight. He was told a twin-engine plane would be waiting for him at the
airport.
Arriving at the airfield, he spotted a plane warming up outside a
hanger. He
jumped in with his bag, slammed the door shut, and shouted, “Let's go!”
The pilot taxied out, swung the plane into the
wind and took off.
Once in the air, the photographer instructed the pilot, “Fly over the
valley
and make low passes so I can take pictures of the fires on the
hillsides.”
“Why?” asked the pilot.
“Because I'm a photographer for CNN,” he responded, “and I need to get
some close up shots.”
The pilot was strangely silent for a moment, finally he stammered, “So,
what
you're telling me, is…You're NOT my flight instructor?”
(Life is short. Drink the good wine first.)
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx. For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe/unsubscibe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com.)