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Feb. 7, 2012: Streamlines to be nixed from FHA compare ratios; Google ends mortgage ads; servicing agreement bumping along
Rob Chrisman
This
is Black (African-American) History Month. The event began as
Black History Week in 1926. For many years, the second week of
February was set aside for this celebration to coincide with the
birthdays of abolitionist/editor Frederick Douglass and Abraham
Lincoln but then expanded in 1976 into Black History Month. The
2010 census counted 42 million black (either a single ethnicity
or a combination of races) people in the U.S., nearly 14% of the
population. Looking at the states, New York had the highest
population with 3.3 million blacks, followed by Florida, Texas,
Georgia, California, North Carolina, Illinois, Maryland,
Virginia and Ohio. In terms of percentages of overall state
population, Mississippi led the nation with 38%, followed by
Louisiana (33), Georgia (32), Maryland (31), South Carolina (29)
and Alabama (27).
When NASA first started sending up astronauts, they quickly
discovered that ballpoint pens would not work in zero gravity.
To combat the problem, NASA scientists spent a decade and $12
billion to develop a pen that writes in zero gravity, upside
down, underwater, on almost any surface including glass and at
temperatures ranging from below freezing to 300 centigrade. The
Russians used a pencil. There’s a lesson in that amusing tale
for mortgage bankers and Realtors – I just don't know what it
is. I do know that the definition of "deleveraging" is, “The
process or practice of reducing the level of one's debt by
rapidly selling one's assets.” As it turns out, Equifax reported
that U.S. consumers
sharply reduced their debts by 11% last year, from $12.4
trillion to $11.1 trillion.
This
news will prompt many lenders to throw a ticker-tape parade that
will rival the NY Giants football event today. HUD and the FHA
have long promoted the FHA Streamline Refinance as a useful tool
to allow responsible homeowners to save thousands of dollars by
refinancing at today’s low interest rates. FHA-insured borrowers
must be current, and in theory they can refinance into today’s
lower rates without requiring additional underwriting. “However,
it has become apparent that some of our lending partners are
reluctant to offer this product widely because of concerns about
taking on the risk of a
loan which they may not have underwritten and the potential
adverse impact such a loan may have on their FHA Compare Ratio.
In order to expand the availability of this product for eligible
borrowers, FHA will make changes to the way in which FHA
Streamline Refinance loans are displayed in the Neighborhood
Watch Early Warning System (Neighborhood Watch). Streamline Refinances will
be removed from the public compare ratio in Neighborhood Watch,
but lenders will still be able to view their own traditional
compare ratio (with streamlines included).” The announcement can
be seen at http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?idfhacomcgstlinfn2312.pdf.
All
eyes are on California as the deadline approaches for state
officials to sign onto the multibillion-dollar foreclosure abuse
settlement. As the
largest remaining holdout, California appears to leaning
towards signing, which could potentially increase the
settlement from $19 billion to upward of $25 billion. New York
seems to be acting on the same lines. (Do you think the
AG’s are texting with each other?) Part of the deal for these
two states would be the preservation of the right to investigate
banks’ past misdeeds and adding regulation to ensure that
financial institutions adhere to the deal and that the money
actually reaches struggling homeowners. As it stands now, the
deal would allocate $17 billion specifically for principal
reductions and other relief for up to one million borrowers
whose homes are underwater. The 750,000 families whose homes
have been foreclosed would receive checks for about $2,000. A
deal has been in the making for the past 13 months, as the
settlement has been delayed on multiple occasions, so a lot is
riding on the decisions of the California and New York Attorneys
General - if they do sign on, a finalized deal will come much
sooner than later.
As
the foreclosure abuses settlement deal finalizes people are
getting a better idea of the numbers involved. The amount that
home mortgage securities investors will have to pay is now
projected to be up to $40 billion, which, according to the
government, would act as a “down payment” for future principal
reduction initiatives from future settlements. The White House
plans to litigation as a key tool for procuring additional sums
from large financial institutions that will be used to further
aid for struggling borrowers. This is part of a trend that has
seen the Obama administration escalate efforts to help US
borrowers—in addition to the finalization of the foreclosure and
loan abuses settlements, a new state and federal unit has been
created to investigate mortgage-related fraud.
I will never be an internet mortgage marketing whiz kid. And I
guess Google thinks something similar - on the heels of several
office closures, Google
has discontinued its mortgage rate advertising platform Google
Mortgage Advisor after two years of operation. Apparently
the decision was based on the product’s poor performance and a
company initiative to de-clutter by shutting down programs that
aren’t as successful as projected. Mortgage Advisor was
discontinued in most US states in November with the exception of
Alabama, Alaska, California, Pennsylvania and DC, though lenders
who advertised on the platform and mortgage technology vendors
believed that the part closure was only temporary. Google at
the time framed the decision as a strategy that would allow the
company to better focus on a smaller market, tweak the program
as necessary, and then implement the improved version on a
national scale once more. Lenders were apparently not notified
of the discontinuation and received a rather rude surprise upon
trying to log into their accounts… Some users believe that, poor
performance aside, the program was scrapped because (in the
words of a former customer who wanted to be kept anonymous)
“mortgage is kind of a dirty word across the industry.” The
fact that other Google Advisor product searches like credit
cards, certificates of deposit, and checking and savings
accounts still remain would suggest as much.
“Recent
changes
to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) present both
opportunities and challenges to lenders and services. DataQuick,
a provider of advanced real estate information solutions powered
by data, analytics and decisioning, has already responded with
timely new offerings that quickly identify eligible loan
modification candidates. Through the application of proprietary
analytics on its nationwide property database, DataQuick has identified
6.7 million borrowers who meet the new eligibility
requirements and will most likely benefit from the revised
program. Lenders and servicers can easily match their
current portfolio to the database to identify the best
candidates for loan modification. HARP eligibility requires that
candidates have no late mortgage payments in the past six months
and no more than one late payment in the past 12 months.” Sounds
pretty nifty - for more information contact your DataQuick sales
representative or Wendy Barnett at wbarnett@dataquick.com.
(And nope, this wasn’t a paid ad.)
I
am not an expert in compliance, but this caught my eye: in the
January 24th Federal Register, HUD has proposed a rule
(ECOA/Reg B) that prohibits banks from discriminating against
borrowers based on ethnicity, religion, national origin, gender,
marital status, age (provided the applicant has the capacity to
contract), income from public assistance, or the exercise of any
Consumer Credit Protection Act. The Fair Housing Act
prohibits discrimination on account of familial status or
handicaps. These are very, very recent developments—both
rules go into effect on March 5. It boggles the mind a bit, but
better late than never, one supposes. The January 24th Federal
Register entry can be read by clicking http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/2011/pdf/2011-1346.pdf.
The
markets certainly don’t care about marital status or gender, and
yesterday we saw a nice little half-point rally (improvement) in
the U.S.10-yr with it closing at 1.90%. With no scheduled news
in this country, Treasuries gained today as “risk aversion” was
back on worries about Greece. MBS prices improved from nearly .5
on 30-year 3.0% coupons to just roughly unchanged on 4.5’s
through 6.5’s, as one would expect. And then overnight Greece's
main political parties reportedly missed a deadline for
responding to demands for more austerity measures. Negotiations
between Greece and its private creditors are on hold while
officials work on a rescue program with the EU, the
International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank.
Greece faces a 14.5 billion euro bond repayment in less than six
weeks. It won't be able to make the payment without
international help.
Here
in the states, once again there is no news of substance although
we do have a $32 billion 3-yr note auction at 1PM EST. Chairman
Bernanke is scheduled to repeat his recent testimony before the
House Budget Committee to the Senate Budget Committee beginning
at 10AM EST, but don’t look for anything new. In the very early going
things appear pretty quiet in the markets.
HIGH SCHOOL -- 1957 vs. 2010 (Part 2 of 2)
Scenario 5:
Mark gets a headache and takes some aspirin to school.
1957 - Mark shares his aspirin with the Principal out on the
smoking dock.
2010 - The police are called and Mark is expelled from school
for drug violations. His car is then searched for drugs and
weapons.
Scenario 6:
Pedro fails high school English.
1957 - Pedro goes to summer school, passes English and goes to
college.
2010 - Pedro's cause is taken up by state. Newspaper articles
appear nationally explaining that teaching English as a
requirement for graduation is racist. ACLU files class action
lawsuit against the state school system and Pedro's English
teacher. English is then banned from core curriculum. Pedro is
given his diploma anyway but ends up mowing lawns for a living
because he cannot speak English.
Scenario 7:
Johnny takes apart leftover firecrackers from the Fourth of
July, puts them in a model airplane paint bottle and blows up a
red ant bed.
1957 - Ants die.
2010 - ATF, Homeland Security and the FBI are all called. Johnny
is charged with domestic terrorism. The FBI investigates his
parents - and all siblings are removed from their home and all
computers are confiscated. Johnny's dad is placed on a terror
watch list and is never allowed to fly again.
Scenario 8:
Johnny falls while running during recess and scrapes his knee.
He is found crying by his teacher, Mary. Mary hugs him to
comfort him.
1957 - In a short time, Johnny feels better and goes on playing.
2010 - Mary is accused of being a sexual predator and loses her
job. She faces 3 years in State Prison. Johnny undergoes 5 years
of therapy.
If
you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR
Group web site located at
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