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Jul. 10, 2007: Mortgages: several topics, including crafty realtors, and some humor
Rob Chrisman
“Mortgage delinquency rates” include
loans that
are 30-60 days late through to loans in foreclosure. Wells
Fargo, servicing $1.38 trillion, and Countrywide, servicing
$1.35 trillion,
have servicing delinquency rates of 3.94% and 4.98%
respectively. How does that
compare to those institutions servicing more of an
Alt-A/subprime loan mix?
Indy Mac’s delinquency rate is 7.9%, Litton Loan Servicing
has 16.0%,
Equity One has 10.6%, and Ocwen has 24.4%. Bank of America’s
is only 1.6%.
Although the yield on the 10-yr is
back down to 5.11%
with no news due out today, things could become a little
more interesting later
today as Fed Chairman speaks on the continued threat of
inflation to the
economy. Generally speaking, surprises are what jolt the
markets, so although
inflationary expectations are already set, any deviation
from what analysts
expect him to say could move rates. Few analysts believe
that rates are going
lower this year. Weakness in the economy will push the 10-yr
back below 5.0%
and trigger the Fed to lower rates but most do not see this
happening since
other nations’ economies are healthy and ultimately
benefiting us despite
our housing woes, inflation worries, and economic slowdown.
Does the National Association of
Realtors manipulate sales
data to skew their numbers? Possibly. In
South Florida (Naples)
local realtors are refusing to submit ALL THE DATA to their
regional Board of
Realtors, because doing so would dilute the nicer parts of
town with
lower-priced and worse-performing neighbors: "The Naples
Area Board of
Realtors has refused to submit its sales and price numbers
to the Florida
Association of Realtors for its comprehensive monthly
reports.” Realtors
have been accused of playing with their data. Besides this,
some have been accused
of pulling a slow selling house off of Multiple Listing, and
then re-listing it
with a different MLS number and at a lower price. That makes
the overall
time-to-sell appear much better than it really is, and
improves the
"Percentage of asking price received" number.
A lawyer and a blonde are sitting next to
each other on a
long flight from LA to NY. The lawyer leans over to her and
asks if she would
like to play a fun game. The blonde just wants to take a
nap, so she politely declines
and rolls over to the window to catch a few winks. The
lawyer persists and
explains that the game is really easy and a lot of fun. He
explains "I ask
you a question, and if you don't know the answer, you pay me
$5, and
visa-versa." Again, she politely declines and tries to get
some sleep.
The lawyer, now somewhat agitated, says, "Okay, if you don't
know the
answer you pay me $5, and if I don't know the answer, I will
pay you $50!"
figuring that since she is a blonde that he will easily win
the match. This
catches the blonde's attention and, figuring that there will
be no end to this
torment unless she plays, agrees to the game.
The lawyer asks the first question. "What's the distance
from the earth to
the moon?" The blonde doesn't say a word, reaches in to her
purse, pulls
out a five-dollar bill and hands it to the lawyer.
Now, it's the blonde's turn. She asks the lawyer: "What goes
up a hill
with three legs, and comes down with four?" The lawyer looks
at her with a
puzzled look. He takes out his laptop computer and searches
all his references.
He taps into the Airphone with his modem and searches the
Net and the Library
of Congress. Frustrated, he sends E-mails to all his
coworkers and friends he
knows, all to no avail. After over an hour, he wakes the
blonde and hands her
$50. The blonde politely takes the $50 and turns away to get
back to sleep.
The lawyer, who is more than a little miffed, wakes the
blonde and asks,
"Well, so what is the answer!?" Without a word, the blonde
reaches
into her purse, hands the lawyer $5, and goes back to sleep.
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