For the latest on the changes at Fannie
and Freddie,
especially as they may pertain to ARM underwriting changes
which may be adopted
by many other lenders, check out http://www.ofheo.gov/News.asp?FormModeReleases.
We are watching this closely, as several investors who are
predominantly FNMA shops,
including Chase, American Home, and AmTrust, have recently
changed their
qualifying rates for underwriting to fully indexed, fully
amortizing payments. Look
for many more to follow.
Yesterday S&P downgraded over 400
classes of securities
backed by home-equity loans originated in 2005, 2006 and
early 2007, which
equates to 6% of the bonds that had been rated. S&P said
losses among
securities backed by home equity loans "will significantly
exceed
historical precedent and our original assumptions." 127 of
them had
already been downgraded at least once, and some had already
been lowered
multiple times. S&P is blaming the poor performance of
these bonds, in
part, on looser underwriting standards, pressure on home
prices and financial
pressure on borrowers resulting from payment increases on
first mortgages.
There are no economic releases today. It
would appear that
our markets may take some direction from overseas, the stock
market, and
further worries of subprime loan losses. Even yesterday we
improved slightly
after yesterday's economic releases, the last news being the
release of the Fed
minutes from the June 28th meeting. The content from the
minutes
came out as expected with no real surprises, indicating that
the FOMC
"anticipated that core inflation would remain relatively
subdued but
concurred that a sustained moderation in inflation had not
yet been
convincingly demonstrated." The yield on the 10-yr got
as low as 4.98%,
but has since bounced back to 5.0%, but mortgage prices
are roughly unchanged due
to subprime and Alt-A worries.
The Master Chief noticed a new Seaman one
day and barked at
him to come into his office.
"What is your name?" was the first thing the Master Chief
asked the
new guy. "John," the new guy replied.
The Master Chief scowled, "Look, I don't know what kind of
bleeding-heart,
liberal pansy stuff they're teaching sailors in boot camp
today, but I don't
call anyone by their first name. It breeds familiarity and
that leads to a
breakdown in authority. I refer to my sailors by their last
name only;
Smith, Jones, Baker, that's all. I am to be referred to
only as
'Master Chief.' Do I make myself clear?"
"Yes, Master Chief!"
"Good! Now that we got that straight,
what is your last
name?"
The new guy sighed and said, "Darling. My
name is John
Darling, Master Chief!"
"Okay, John, the next thing I want to tell you is......."