Yesterday saw a significant sell off in equities,
and while most people
under the age of 25 started calling their brokers demanding
to know how stocks
can go down, money started flowing into the treasury markets
later in the day. Disappointing
earnings and worries about the prolonged housing slump was
the catalyst for the
selling in stock-land, which created the proverbial
flight-to-quality bid when
money seeks the shelter of high credit fixed income. At the
end of the day the
Dow Jones composite index was down 226 pts, the 10 yr saw
4.9% before settling
at 4.92%, and mortgages were slightly better at the end of
the trading day. Countrywide’s
CEO Angelo Mozilo yesterday, while reporting weak earnings
and the lowering of
their profit targets, reiterated popular sentiment with
anyone affiliated with mortgage
originations when he commented that supply needs to be
worked through, and
prices need to stabilize, before any real rebound in the
mortgage market can
happen. Amen, Angie.
This morning we saw the release of the monthly MBA
data: applications
down 3.6%, purchases down 5.0%, and refinances down 1.4% The
rest of today’s
worries revolve around the release of June’s existing home
sales report which
is expected to be down 1.5%, and an $18B 2yr note auction.
Currently the 10yr
is at 4.92%, and mortgages are holding tough, only down a
few bps across the
coupon stack.
A tiny but dignified old lady was among a group
looking at an art
exhibition in a newly opened gallery. Suddenly one
contemporary painting caught
her eye. ''What on earth,'' she inquired of the artist
standing nearby, ''is
that?''
He smiled
condescendingly. ''That, my dear lady, is supposed to be a
mother and her
child.''
''Well,
then,'' snapped the little old lady, ''Why isn't it?''