American Home Mortgage Investment said it
is delaying paying
dividends on its common stock and may delay payments on its
preferred shares
because banks demanded it put up more cash after the
mortgage lender wrote down
the value of its loan and security portfolios significantly.
AMH said that
the market had caused “major write-downs of its loan and
security
portfolios and consequently has caused significant margin
calls with respect to
its credit facilities.” It had $4.01billion of
borrowings outstanding
under its warehouse lines of credit as of March 31, and
total liabilities of
$19.3 billion. Its assets had a total book value of $20.6
billion.
What is going on out there? As we
mentioned last week, although
Treasury yields may be dropping, mortgage prices are not
improving by as much
due to nervousness (including A-paper), but this may
change as investors find
them a good buy. Or, as Lehman Brothers puts it, “The
general lack of
liquidity and flight to quality trade will lead to more
spread widening in the
short term as pass-throughs continue to under-perform other
spread products and
credit. Such underperformance is likely to motivate
investors to
participate in other products, perhaps jumbo or alt a bonds
that have become
more attractive as the crackdown on subprime continues. It
is a general
consensus that AAA bonds are well protected from losses;
however, this sector
has experienced significant widening as well due to the
concerns surrounding
the subprime market. In this case we feel that this sector
has become
relatively cheap because of the attractive pick up in
spread.”
It could be quite a week ahead for the
markets. Not only has
volatility already picked up, but look below for the huge
amount of scheduled
economic news due out.
There is nothing today, but
tomorrow we have Personal Income and Consumption, the
Employment Cost Index,
the Chicago PMI, Construction Spending, and Consumer
Confidence! Things quiet
down, but then on Friday we’ll have all of the employment
numbers. The
Fed meets again next Tuesday, and the market is giving them
a 15% chance of
easing. But by year-end the odds have increased to 76%
chance of an
overnight rate cut.
WOMEN'S REVENGE
"Cash, check or charge?" I asked, after folding items the
woman
wished to purchase. As she fumbled for her wallet, I noticed
a remote control
for a television set in her purse.
"So, do you always carry your TV remote?" I asked.
"No," she replied, "but my husband refused to come shopping
with
me, and I figured this was the most evil thing I could do to
him legally."