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Oct. 19, 2007: If you want MBS price quotes for free... and another wave of poor industry news
Rob Chrisman
Henny Youngman used to say about
marriage, “If you
come home to a person that gives you a little love,
understanding and
tenderness, it usually means you are in the wrong
house.” Speaking of the
wrong house, some believe that lending on houses
may continue its trend away
from brokers and third party originations and into
retail operations. Large
banks, it appears, continue to focus on lending in
their own branches. Large
numbers of wholesale reps from defunct companies (or
those that are on life
support) are thinking about working in branches for
banks, becoming private
mortgage bankers, or loan agents sitting in the
local bank branch. Like things
were 40 years ago…
Many originators want to be able
to click on a free site and
see what the 10-yr Treasury note is yielding, or how
a current mortgage-backed
security is behaving. This might be of great value:
http://www.briefing.com/Investor/Public/MarketSnapshot/BondMarketUpdate.htm
- Diablo
Funding (San Francisco
area) announced yesterday that they will be
closing on Tuesday, due in part to buybacks and
heavy office lease obligations. There are rumors
that Indymac is purchasing them, but that is
unfounded – instead Indymac is absorbing the bulk
of their loan agents. (Diablo’s agents were 1099’d
contractors, whereas I have heard that Indymac’s
agents are all W-2.)
- According
to DataQuick, a total of 5,014 new and resale
homes and condos were sold last month in nine San
Francisco Bay area counties, -40% from the same
period a year ago, and were down 31% from August.
- GMAC cut
3,000 jobs (25% of their worldwide workforce) in
its mortgage unit, Residential Capital (ResCap).
- Countrywide’s plan
to cut 20% of its workforce, announced in early
September, will force the company to take a pretax
charge of $150 million. Speaking of Countrywide,
the SEC is investigating Angelo Mozilo’s "10b5-1"
plan, a plan designed to allow senior executives
to sell shares at regular intervals automatically.
If executives pledge they don't have insider
information at the time the plans are established,
they can be used as a defense against
insider-trading charges. Some believe that
executives (insiders) were setting them up just
ahead of big stock drops. Mr. Mozilo sold $130.6
million in company stock in the first half of the
year through executive sales plans, up from $60.4
million in the year-earlier half, according to
securities filings.
Mortgage prices are good out
there, and the 10-yr is down to
4.48%! With oil being at $90/barrel,
Wachovia being the latest
bank to announce disappointing earnings, the current
trend in thought is
focused on an economic slow down. A big fly in the
ointment, however, is that
the dollar is continuing to decline. The dollar
sentiment is negative, and if
the Fed lowers rates, the dollar may sink even
lower. One
Wall Street firm
mentioned hearing
talk of currency market intervention to stop the
dollar's fall, which requires
coordinated central bank buying of the dollar to
overwhelm sellers but it has
not been very successful in the past.
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