Citigroup’s board members had an
emergency meeting
this weekend, although their chairman of the board (Chuck
Prince) resigned
prior to that. Citigroup has lost nearly a quarter of
its market value in
less than three weeks! Analysts blame increased toner
cartridge expenses
along with higher office heating bills. Just kidding – their
earnings
were depressed by mortgage defaults and this summer's credit
scare. The news
hit all financial stocks last night and into today. While
new Citigroup
chairman Robert Rubin announced measures to boost accounting
at the world's
biggest bank, fears that more banks will have to confess to
major losses hit
Asian and European institutions. The company announced
losses of up to $11
billion dollars, significantly higher than the $2.2
billion it had reported
for the third quarter in September. "Citi estimates that, at
the present
time, the reduction in revenues attributable to these
(sub-prime related)
declines ranges from approximately eight billion to 11
billion dollars,"
it said in a separate statement.
Speaking of billions, ResCap, the
residential lending
division of GMAC, lost $2.3 billion in the third quarter
attributed to
“credit losses, writedowns, and a weakening secondary
market”.
Under the “good news” category, rates
continue
down, and the 10-yr stands at 4.31%. We had a nice
intra-day price
improvement on Friday on continued concern of bank losses
related to mortgage
assets after coming early pressure following stronger than
expected non-farm payrolls, which rose +166k last month.
Compared to last
week, this week is very light in terms of economic releases,
so maybe
we’ll have a non-volatile week? Today we have a relatively
unimportant
number (October’s ISM non-manufacturing index, expected
-.8), Wednesday
we’ll see the 3rd Quarter Productivity report, a measure of
worker
productivity and expected to show a level of worker
productivity during the
third quarter similar to last quarter’s final reading of
3.1%. Thursday
we have the usual Unemployment Claims and testimony by
Bernanke before the
Joint Economic Committee, and on Friday we have the Trade
Balance figures
(expect a deficit of $58 billion), October Import Prices
(exp +1.0%), and an
early November University of Michigan Consumer Confidence
Index (exp -0.4).
There are 10-year Note and 30-year Bond auctions this week,
Wednesday and
Thursday respectively. Strong or very weak results from
these sales could
affect the momentum in the bond market, and although it is
common to see
pressure in bonds ahead of these sales as long as interest
from investors is
decent we should see those pre-sale losses recovered during
afternoon trading
of the sale days. Mortgage prices today, however, are
giving up some of
their improvement from Friday.
For anyone in this business who still has
a job, here are
some work rules:
If you can't get your work done in the
first 24 hours, work
nights.
A pat on the back is only a few centimeters from a kick in
the butt.
Don't be irreplaceable: if you can't be replaced, you can't
be promoted.
It doesn't matter what you do, it only matters what you say
you've done, and
what you say you're going to do.