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Jan. 4, 2008: Unemployment data, Nationwide registry is a reality, and a FHA update from an unusual source
Rob Chrisman
A guy goes to a
psychiatrist. "Doc, I keep having these
alternating recurring dreams. First I'm a teepee; then I'm a wigwam;
then
I'm a teepee; then I'm a wigwam. It is driving me crazy. What's wrong
with me?"
The doctor replies: "It's very simple. You're two tents."
While on vacation earlier
this week, I was minding my own
business on the stationary bike (in the hotel gym) when the man next to
me
struck up a conversation about the Iowa
caucus. It turned out that it was John Barrasso, Wyoming’s Senator. (No, there was no
foot-tapping – that is Idaho!)
Over the next 45 minutes I had a chance to ask him quite a wide variety
of
questions (from “What is Robert Byrd like” to “How is it
flying into Baghdad?”)
including “What’s the scoop on the FHA bill?” He replied that
since Congress doesn’t even return until January 22nd, he saw
nothing
happening with FHA limits until late January at the very earliest, more
likely
next month.
Rates are low, and
probably heading lower. This
morning’s unemployment data was weak, and many who thought that the
economy was doing well were hanging their hats on a strong labor
market. No
more! Non-Farm Payroll was up only 18k (expected +70k), the
Unemployment Rate
shot from 4.7% to 5.0%, although Hourly Earnings were +7 cents. Job
growth
occurred in professional services and health care, but plunged in
construction,
manufacturing, and retail sectors. The increase in unemployment, both
on a
month-to-month basis and in terms of what it implies for the cumulative
increase
since last spring, is what usually happens when the economy is headed
into a
downturn. After the numbers the 10-yr yield stands at 3.86% and
mortgage
prices are mixed versus yesterday afternoon.
- Chase Home Equity made some changes,
effective next week. They capped loan amounts at $350,000 when the CLTV
is greater than 80% or FICO is less than 700, lowered the loan cap to
$500,000 when the CLTV is 80% or less and FICO is 700 or greater, set
the maximum DTI at 45%, and eliminated “Investment collateral”.
- PHH, who owns PHH
Mortgage, the nation's 11th largest residential servicer,
has called off its sale to General Electric, which had planned to
flip the mortgage and fleet lender to The Blackstone Group, an
investment banking firm. Back in September, Blackstone first admitted
that it was having trouble securing enough debt financing to complete
the deal.
The Conference of State
Bank Supervisors and the American
Association of Residential Mortgage Regulators launched a Web-based
mortgage
licensing system on Jan. 2, as promised, with the initial participation
of
seven states. The Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System is designed
to
automate and streamline state licensing of mortgage lenders and
brokers, track
and identify bad brokers, including originators that move from state to
state.
Idaho, Iowa,
Kentucky, Massachusetts,
Nebraska, New
York,
and Rhode Island
are participating in the initial start-up, but forty other states have
indicated their intent to transition to the system.
My son Robbie announced
yesterday that he was going to have
plastic surgery on his “hind-section.” He claims that his old one
has a crack in it.
Rob
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