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Jan. 7, 2008: a good website for the current status of the housing initiatives: all talk & no action
Rob Chrisman
There was once a young
man who, in his youth, professed his
desire to become a great writer. When asked to define
“great”, he said, "I want to write stuff that the whole world
will read, stuff that people will react to on a truly emotional level,
stuff
that will make them scream, cry, howl in pain and anger!"
He now works for
Microsoft writing error messages.
What does “in a hurry”
mean to you? Apparently
my definition differs from that of a politician’s, as noted in a good
article
about where the various government ideas stand on helping the mortgage
situation: http://money.cnn.com/2008/01/03/real_estate/bush_housing_Congress/
Speaking of this, the Mortgage Bankers Association has changed
their stance
and is now backing stand-alone legislation that would allow Fannie Mae
and
Freddie Mae to purchase jumbo loans of up to $625,000 nationwide on a
temporary
basis. "The increase should be in effect for no less than 12
months,
and up to 24 months if market conditions warrant," the MBA says in a
letter to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight. (The MBA
previously opposed a temporary hike in the conforming lending limit
unless it
was part of a comprehensive bill to strengthen the regulation and
supervision
of the government-sponsored enterprises.)
- Federal Housing
Finance Reform. The House voted 313-104 last May (!) to strengthen
oversight of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, quasi-governmental companies
that buy mortgages from banks and bundle them into tradable securities.
The Senate has not yet taken action.
- Expanding
American Homeownership Act. The House voted 348-72 in September to give
the FHA more flexibility to help financially struggling homeowners
refinance their mortgages. In December, the Senate voted 93-1 in favor
of its version of the bill, called the FHA Modernization Act. But the
bills differ significantly, so House and Senate leaders will have to
reconcile the competing versions to come up with final legislation.
- National
Affordable Housing Trust Fund Act. The House voted 264-148 in October
to establish a trust fund to build or preserve 1.5 million low-cost
homes and apartments over 10 years, using fees paid by Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac. The Senate has not yet acted, and President Bush has
threatened a veto.
- Mortgage Reform
and Anti-Predatory Lending Act. The House voted 291-127 in November in
favor of legislation to license mortgage originators and prohibit
brokers from steering prime borrowers to more expensive subprime loans.
In December Senate Banking Committee Chairman Dodd introduced a similar
bill, the Homeownership and Preservation Act, and is expected to get it
moving early in the year.
This week there a lack of
relevant of economic data
scheduled, and hopefully we will see a relatively calm week in mortgage
rates
& prices. Frankly no one is complaining about rates anyway –
just
finding qualified borrowers with equity in their homes is enough right
now. The
data that is scheduled for release this week is relatively minor, so
there is a
good possibility that mortgage rates will remain steady. Last
week's
December jobs report has increased fears among investors that the US
economy is closer to a recession than initially believed. The market
now
believes that there is a 67% chance of 50 bp rate cut at the FOMC
meeting in
three weeks. There is no news today, Pending Home Sales tomorrow,
Jobless
Claims Thursday, and then on Friday we have the Trade Balance figures.
Fed
Chairman Bernanke will speak in Washington
on Thursday, and given the recent spate of economically weak data, the
markets
will pay careful attention to his focus on future Fed rate cuts.
The pace of defaults on
privately insured mortgages soared
almost 35%, reaching the highest
level since the data was first
collected in 2001, according to data from MCIC, PMI, AIG, Old Republic,
and Triad. The association said 61,300 insured borrowers were at least
60 days
late on payments in November. That's up 35% from a year earlier and up
3% from
October. The number had not exceeded 60,000 since data was first
collected in
2001. Policy-wise, due to tougher underwriting guidelines, the number
of
policies issued in November totaled 153,865, up 67% from a year
earlier, the
association said. For the first nine months of 2007, the number of
policies
issued rose 42%.
Sean went to visit his
dying friend, Kennedy, in Dublin.
"Sean",
says Kennedy, "I'm not long for this world and I have a favor to be
asking
of you"
"Sure", says Sean,
"anything you need".
Says Kennedy, "I want you
to pour this here bottle of
100 year old whiskey over me grave when I am dead and gone."
Sean responds, "It's an
honor you're asking of me and
I'm proud to do it. But...I'm wondering, would ye mind if I strained it
through
me kidneys first?"
Rob
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