Here is a link to the conforming loan limit press release
from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO).
According to the release, these limits will be in effect from July 1, 2007 (to
allow for refinances) until December 31, 2008. http://www.ofheo.gov/newsroom.aspx?ID=418&q1=1&q2=None
Fannie weighs in with a new set of pricing changes to
delivery fees, effective June 1: https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/ssg/annltrs/pdf/2008/0804.pdf
Citigroup announced that it is scaling back its mortgage
business to free up capital. CitiMortgage’s plan is to
cut back the number of loans on its books, which currently totals $200 billion,
by about 20% ($45 billion) over the next year and afterwards will focus its
underwriting on loans that can be sold on to other investors. The reduction,
fortunately, will take place mainly by not replacing loans when they mature or
are paid off. Citigroup said it will combine some middle office and support
services and will cut some $ 200 million a year in costs, Citigroup said. There
will be job cuts, but the bank wouldn't say how many. http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/djf500/200803061813DOWJONESDJONLINE001137_FORTUNE5.htm
Anyone believing that the economy is not retracting must be
in the minority after this morning’s job numbers. Non-farm
Payroll, expected unchanged, was -63k for February, along with January and December
numbers being revised downward by a total of 47k! Although the Unemployment
Rate came in at 4.8% and Hourly Earnings were +.3%, the numbers pointed to
continued weakness in the employment area. (The drop in the unemployment rate
compared to the drop in non-farm payroll indicates that a large number of
unemployed aren’t even looking for work any longer!) And although the
government added jobs, the private sector lost over 100k in jobs. In an
interesting move, 15 minutes prior to the 5:30AM PST numbers the Fed came in
and made a move to increase liquidity: “a series of 28-day term
repurchase agreements, increase the March TAF auctions to $50 billion each, and
to continue to address the heightened liquidity pressure”. The 10-yr
has improved to 3.56% and mortgage prices are better by roughly .250-.50 in
price.
We have also seen a “slew” of Fed officials
speaking around the world (Brazil,
France,
etc.), but their impact on the markets has been slight. US mortgage
foreclosures increased to an all-time high and the Carlyle Mortgage–Bond
Fund received a default notice after missing margin calls. It’s no
surprise that treasury prices rallied on the news while US stocks dipped down
to 18-month lows. New foreclosures jumped to 0.83 percent of all home loans in
the fourth quarter from 0.54 percent a year earlier. Late payments rose to a
23-year high, and the government is urging lenders to avert foreclosures by
modifying mortgage terms amid the worst housing slump in a quarter century. The
share of all home loans with payments more than 30 days late, both prime and
fixed-rate loans, rose to a seasonally adjusted 5.82 percent, the highest
since 1985, a bankers' group reported.
Why did I put my entire 401K into Thornburg stock a few
weeks ago? Thornburg stock dropped by 51% to $1.65/share yesterday,
versus $12/share last week, and has fallen 82% this year.
I was shopping at the local supermarket where I selected: a
half-gallon of 2% milk, a carton of eggs, a quart of orange juice, a head of
romaine lettuce, a 2 lb. can of coffee, and a 1 lb. package of bacon.
As I was unloading my items on the conveyor belt to check
out, a drunk standing behind me watched as I placed the items in front of the
cashier.
While the cashier was ringing up the purchases, the drunk
calmly stated, "You must be single."
I was a bit startled by this proclamation, but I was
intrigued by the derelict's intuition, since I was indeed single. I looked at
the six items on the belt and saw nothing particularly unusual about my
selections that could have tipped off the drunk to my marital status.
Curiosity getting the better of me, I said: "Well, you
know what, you're absolutely right. But how on earth did you know that?"
The drunk replied, "Cause you're ugly."
Rob