Usually I stop at Starbucks every morning, on the way from
my bedroom to my bathroom. I was a little surprised that they put one of their
outlets in my house last year, kicking my daughter out of her room, but I guess
they figured that it made sense financially. As it turns out, California,
Florida and Texas have the most Starbucks. They are
closing 88 locations in California,
5% of the almost 1,800 in this state. Florida
will lose 59 stores, and Texas
57. Unemployed mortgage folks will have to drive a little farther to find
a place to meet…
Speaking of her, if I thought that my daughter was going to
receive a “D” in Science, and she ended up with a “C-“
on the report card, is that cause for celebration? I guess so. Bank of
America, now the biggest U.S. consumer bank and home lender, said
second-quarter profit fell less than analysts estimated. BofA said net income
declined 41% to $3.41 billion from $5.76 billion a year earlier. That beat
estimates. We still have Wachovia and WaMu earnings ahead of us this week,
but four of the nation's five biggest banks have now reported
better-than-estimated results, sparking a rally in financial shares. (She
actually does very well in science, no thanks to me.)
One analyst in Florida tracks the 107 US banks and thrifts
that hold at least $5 billion in assets, and came up with 12 that he said are
“at risk” based on the amount of non-performing assets they hold as
either a ratio of outstanding loans or as a ratio of reserves and equity. They
are Downey Financial, Corus Bankshares, Doral Financial, FirstFed of Santa
Monica, Oriental Financial, BankUnited Financial, BFC Financial, First BanCorp,
Flagstar Bancorp of Troy, Mich.,
Santander BanCorp of Puerto Rico, and Washington Mutual Inc. (WM) of Seattle. http://www.investmentnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080721/REG/278316415
In other news, rates continue to get worse. Friday
afternoons are notoriously bad for markets, as many in NYC head out after
battening down their positions and leaving skeleton crews. But between
Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday mortgage prices worsened by .375% on a
“vanilla” 30-yr conforming loan. We’re off again by
another .125 in price versus Friday afternoon, and the 10-yr is up to 4.09%.
We have $56 billion in Treasury supply this week (2-yr, 5-yr, and 20-yr
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities), but the only data today is Leading
Economic Indicators at 7AM PST, expected to show a decrease of 0.1%. Tomorrow
brings the July Richmond manufacturing index, the May house price index, and on
Wednesday we’ll see the Fed’s beige book follow on Wednesday.
Thursday brings both weekly initial unemployment claims and June existing home
sales. Lastly, Friday brings June durable goods orders, the final-July US
consumer confidence report, and June new home sales.
MGIC is going to a maximum 90% LTV in California as of August
4 (down from 95%). They will still allow conforming jumbos up to $729,750 (90%
LTV, 45 DTI, 700 FICO).
Jesus and Satan were having an on-going argument about who
was better on the computer. They had been going at it for days, and frankly God
was tired of hearing all the bickering. Finally fed up, God said, "THAT'S
IT! I have had enough. I am going to set up a test that will run for two hours,
and from those results, I will judge who does the better job."
So Satan and Jesus sat down at the keyboards and typed away.
They moused, faxed, e-mailed, e-mailed with attachments, downloaded, did
spreadsheets, wrote reports, created labels and cards, charts and graphs,
genealogy reports They did every job known to man.
Jesus worked with heavenly efficiency and Satan was faster
than ever. Then, ten minutes before their time was up, lightning suddenly
flashed across the sky, thunder rolled, rain poured, and, of course, the power
went off. Satan stared at his blank screen and screamed every curse word known
in the underworld. Jesus just sighed.
Finally the electricity came back on, and each of them
restarted their computers. Satan started searching frantically, screaming:
"It's gone! It's all GONE! "I lost everything when the power went
out!" Meanwhile, Jesus quietly started printing out all of his files from
the past two hours of work. Satan observed this and became irate.
"Wait!" he screamed. "That's not fair! He
cheated! How come he has all his work and I don't have any?"
God just shrugged and said,
“Jesus Saves!”
Rob