What is new besides Vice Presidential nominee Palin’s
17-yr old unmarried daughter being pregnant? Not much is new with mortgages,
aside from rates being higher this morning. A farmer won $50 million in the
multi-state lottery. When his local newspaper asked him what he was going to do
with the money, he replied: “I’m going to invest all the money in
my business and continue to farm until it’s all gone.” (Thank you
Ted O.!) Remember, life is simpler when you plow around the stump. (The Palin
news sure hits home with every parent, including myself.)
Some firms had light lock days on Friday, others had heavy
days. Interesting. But everyone who locked late last week should be happy, since
rates have moved up over the weekend. Hurricane Gustav has become a heavy rain
storm, missing oil production facilities, leading to a big drop in oil prices,
a rally in the stock market, and thoughts of a strong economy. There is a large
amount of economic news due out this week, causing some nervousness in the
interest-rate markets. Today we get Construction Spending, the ISM
Manufacturing Index and the ISM prices paid releases (the ISM index is expected
to fall 0.5 points to 49.5, and the “Prices-Paid” index is expected
to decrease 6.2 points to 82.3).
Looking ahead of economic news, tomorrow we’ll see
July’s Factory Orders, on Thursday Initial Jobless Claims, 2Q Revised
Productivity & Labor Costs, and then on Friday we have Nonfarm Payrolls and
the Unemployment data. As I type this the 10-yr stands at 3.86%, and 30-yr
mortgage prices are worse by roughly .375 in price versus Friday’s
closing levels.
Chase announced two changes to their
agency product offerings: Acceptability of DU recommendations on Agency jumbo
transactions, and a new policy for determining the representative FICO on
Conventional Agency loans. Effective yesterday, Chase will accept a DU
Recommendation on Agency Jumbo Fixed and Agency Jumbo 5/1 Amortizing ARM
transactions. And for Chase, beginning October 1, all Agency Jumbo Fixed and
Agency Jumbo 5/1 Amortizing ARM transactions, excluding co-ops and 2-unit
properties, must receive a DU Approve/Eligible recommendation. Manual
underwriting will no longer be an eligible underwriting option for the Fannie
Mae Market Types and Property Types addressed in this communication. Remember
that DU/DO will not approve any Agency Jumbo loan with a DTI over 45%.
The max of 45% is a hard guideline that has been built into DU. DU/DO may
still return findings asking for limited documentation on employment and/or
income, such as only 1 pay stub for a wage earner or 1 year 1040’s for a
self-employed borrower, and these findings may be followed.
Businesses are springing up to help borrowers with their
modification process. Some seem a little more “above board” than
others, for example check out www.consumerprotectioninstitute.com.
If you think that FHASecure is the way to riches, you may
want to reconsider. According to an article in Forbes, data from FHA (which
oversees FHASecure) shows that the number of delinquent borrowers helped by the
program is only 4,000. Since September ’07, only 1.2% of the loans
refinanced by the FHA were made to borrowers in default, far below what the
government had forecast. So far this year the FHA refinanced over 324 thousand
loans so far this year. FHASecure, however, is very restrictive, and has some
serious price hits by investors. Only borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages
who were less than 90 days delinquent on their payments could apply, and
lenders had to prove borrowers were in arrears due to ARM resets, though there
are many other factors pushing them into default.
After having dug to a depth of 10
feet last year, New York scientists found traces of copper wire dating back 100
years and came to the conclusion, that their ancestors already had a telephone
network more than 100 years ago.
Not to be out done by the New Yorkers, in the weeks that followed, in
California an archaeologist dug to a depth of 20 feet, and shortly after,
headlines in the LA Times newspaper read: “California archaeologists have
found traces of 200 year old copper wire and have concluded that their
ancestors already had an advanced high-tech communications network a hundred
years earlier than the New Yorkers.”
One week later, The News and Observer, a local newspaper in North
Carolina, reported the following: “After digging as deep as
30 feet in his pasture near Beech Grove, Wake
County, North Carolina
, Bubba Mitchell, a self-taught archaeologist, reported that he found
absolutely nothing. Bubba has therefore concluded that 300 years ago, North Carolina had
already gone wireless.”
Rob