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Jul. 7, 2009: Citi back; HARP program comments; summer doldrums lead to a quiet market
Rob Chrisman
I
remember in high school I "obtained" the combination to the
ball locker, where they kept all the new basketballs, footballs, etc.
Life
doesn't get any better! I wonder if Sergey Aleynikov feels the same
way. He is
the ex-Goldman Sachs computer programmer who has been arrested after
allegedly
stealing Goldman's proprietary trading code and software. Does he
really pose a
risk to the markets? Good question: I heard one news reporter say,
"Just
because someone had the recipe for traveling to the moon doesn't mean
that they
can do it." This has no relationship to originating mortgages, but is
one
more reason for the markets to be spooked.
CitiMortgage is back locking loans. On June 23rd they cut off
locks due
to quality control issues, appraisal questions, and general
documentation
concerns. They have already begun accepting locks from qualified
customers and previous lenders who were in good standing,
and will bring other originators back eventually using the new
procedures. A
collective "whew" went up from their sales-bonused reps...
How is the Fed doing on their mortgage purchase program? Last week
the Fed
bought ("gross purchases") $36.15 billion from June 25th through July
1st. Of course, they are also engaged in other activities, like
selling
mortgages - that aspect doesn't receive quite the media attention. On a
"net" basis the Fed bought $23.1 billion, or almost $5 billion per
day. At the current origination levels, this is a solid amount.
How is Freddie doing on their HARP program? I cannot attest to
this, but
one respectable broker wrote and said, "Regarding the pricing
adjustment
the Freddie HARP program instituted 7/1/09 - the program had some
weight and
value until they decided to incorporate the same pricing adjustments
that Fannie
was using. In many cases, the program has now become useless as they
only allow
$2,500 in closing costs, and with adjustments up to 1.75 in points
borrowers
will have to come out of their pocket for thousands more than they had
to
before which will stop the program right there. Once again, let's
develop a
program that almost no one can utilize and tell everyone how much good
we are
doing. I thought this was supposed to be for those borrowers making
their
payments as a way of allowing them to reduce payments and almost saying
"thank you", therefore helping stimulate the economy eventually by
giving them more to spend every month, not just with some 1 time
stimulus check.
Instead it is another way for those borrowers paying their loans to pay
for
those who are not. Who is the government really looking out for when
they have
not only increased costs to the borrowers with all the excess
regulations and
the HVCC that is doing nothing but padding the pockets of some large
appraisal
companies, they are making the mortgage industry work as well as the
government.”
Things are pretty quiet in the markets out
there. Perhaps we are in the
summer doldrums, with many folks on vacation. Yesterday stocks and
bonds ended
the day without much change, and today might follow a similar pattern –
in fact
there is little news until Thursday’s Jobless Claims. Today,
however, is a
$35 billion 3-year note auction, followed by tomorrow’s $19 billion
10-year
note auction, and Thursday’s $11 billion 30-year bond auction. As I
said
yesterday, don’t look for much change in mortgage rates until or unless
there
is more substantial news about the economic outlook. Currently the
yield on
the 10-yr is at 3.54% and the 5-yr Treasury & mortgage prices are a
shade
worse than Monday afternoon.
A husband and wife were sitting watching a TV program about psychology
and mixed emotions when he turned to his wife and said:
"Honey, that's a bunch of garbage.
I bet you can't tell me anything that will make me happy and sad at the
same time."
“Well,” she said. "You have the
biggest “package” of all your friends."
Rob
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