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Jul. 23, 2009: Wells' earnings, and how do they stack up? Fannie, Flagstar, CSFB news; rates behaving
Rob Chrisman
President
Obama recently said that the best way to pay for his healthcare
plan is to raise taxes on people like him. As a result, the government
is
raising taxes on all half-Kenyan presidents who were born outside the
Continental US.
When
I was growing up, people didn’t have health clubs, thigh master, or
Richard Simmons. We had Jack LaLanne. Everyone my age will be pleased
to know
that Jack (born in 1914) is still alive and well, living on the Central
Coast
in California. Born in San Francisco, his fitness show lasted 34 years
on TV,
and believes that “if man made it, don’t eat it” and “if it tastes
good, spit
it out”. Most of his publicity feats involve towing boats – for
example, at age
62 to commemorate the bicentennial in 1976 he swam one mile in Long
Beach
Harbor while handcuffed and shackled towing 13 boats (representing the
13
original colonies) containing 76 people. Go Jack!
This
has nothing to do with mortgage banking, but perhaps Wells Fargo
should hire Jack LaLanne to be their spokesman. Wells’ stock is
down 17% this year,
a portion of that coming yesterday when they announced their earnings.
(By
rough comparison, Citi is down 50%, BofA is unchanged, and Chase is
+15% in
2009.) The biggest U.S. home lender said bad loans jumped in the
second
quarter as the recession made it harder for borrowers to keep up with
payments.
Assets no longer collecting interest climbed 45% to $18.3 billion as
of June
30 from the first quarter, although their second-quarter net income
soared 81%
to a record $3.17 billion. Wells Fargo added to credit reserves,
and
continues to deal with the fallout from their acquisition of Wachovia
and their
option ARM loans, along with losses from defaults in California. One
analyst
said, “When Wells acquired Wachovia, the company took significant
impairments
(a/k/a 'fair value' or 'purchase accounting' marks) on roughly $60bln
of Wachovia’s
most problematic loan exposures (predominately Option ARMs, but also
some commercial
real estate (CRE) and other classes), with WB's remaining $375bln
portfolio
considered 'non-impaired' for accounting purposes. The $5.5bln 1H09
increase in
NPAs (to approximately 1.5% of assumed outstandings) for this portfolio
doesn't
seem so outsized given economic/housing conditions, especially
considering that
$54bln of Option ARMs were not impaired in the purchase accounting (as
a note
40% of the increase in WB legacy NPAs in 1H09 were residential
mortgages, including
$1.1bln Option ARMs. An additional 30% was CRE). “
On
the other hand, Credit Suisse Group, who used to be a big Alt-A
player, appears to be emerging as one of Europe's strongest banks. CSFB
announced that second-quarter net profit rose 31% on a healthy
showing from
its investment bank.
Fannie Mae released their Desktop
Originator/Desktop Underwriter User
Interface July Update last weekend. Users will be pleased to know that it
“provides
the functionality for users of the DO/DU User Interface to opt out of
DU Refi
Plus consideration for a loan case file prior to underwriting and
submit the
case file as a standard limited cash-out refinance.” “As a reminder,
users who
access DO or DU via an integrated LOS or through direct integration
should confirm
with their provider or organization about the availability of the DU
Refi Plus
opt-out functionality depending on when they will be able to support
the
Product Description field (if it is not currently offered).”
Flagstar officially announced their set of
compliance changes due to the Mortgage Disclosures Improvement Act
(MDIA) which becomes effective on July 30, 2009. “TILA disclosures now
apply to any closed-end extension of credit secured by the dwelling of
a
consumer. This now includes non-principal dwellings. There must be a
seven-business-day waiting period between the date the initial TIL
disclosure
is provided to the consumer and the closing / signing date of the loan.
There
must be a three-business-day waiting period between the date a final /
redisclosed TIL is received by the consumer and the closing / signing
date of
the loan. No fees, other than a bona fide credit report fee, can be
charged
prior to the initial TIL disclosure being provided. Both final /
redisclosed
and initial TIL disclosures shall contain the following statement. ‘You
are not
required to complete this agreement merely because you have received
these disclosures or signed a loan application.’” Etc.
Flagstar also made a few other changes, including a changed fee
structure, changing the maximum loan amounts available for loans with
lender paid
mortgage insurance (LPMI - the maximum loan amount for any loan with
LPMI is
now $417,000, regardless of location or number of units, effective for
all new
Mortgage Insurance Certs issued), and Flagstar also announced a
slightly
changed pricing adjustments for North and South Carolina VA & FHA
loans.
And
lock desks everywhere are noticing a slight increase in business. Last
week the MBAA reported that applications were up for the third week in
a row,
rising almost 3%. Refinancing was up 4% and purchases were up about 1%.
Back
to interest rates, which don’t seem to be doing too much. Things
have improved somewhat in the bond market, however, with Bernanke’s
comments
that rates will remain low for quite some time. That, of course,
doesn’t mean
jumbo rates will be at 5% soon, but at least they may not be going any
higher. Today
we have already had Jobless Claims (+30,000 to 554,000, as expected)
and we
will see Existing Home Sales at 10AM EST. And later today our treasured
Treasury Department will announce the amounts for next week’s sale of
2-yr,
5-yr, and 7-yr notes, along with sneaking in a 20-yr TIPS sale. After
the
numbers we find the 10-yr yield at 3.52% and mortgage security prices
better by
a smidge.
Although not familiar with a lake, a lady decides to take the boat out
to relax.
She motors out a short distance, anchors, and begins reading her book.
Along comes a Game Warden in his boat. He pulls up alongside the woman
and
says, “Good morning, Ma'am. What are you doing?”
“Reading a book,” she replies, thinking “Isn't that obvious?”
“You're in a Restricted Fishing Area,” he informs her.
“I'm sorry, officer, but I'm not fishing. I'm reading.”
“Yes, but you have all the equipment. For all I know you could start at
any
moment. I'll have to take you in and write you up.”
“For reading a book?” she replies.
“You're in a Restricted Fishing Area,” he informs her again.
“I'm sorry, officer, but I'm not fishing. I'm reading.”
“Yes, but you have all the equipment. For all I know you could start at
any
moment. I'll have to take you in and write you up.”
“If you do that, I'll have to charge you with sexual assault,” says the
woman.
“But I haven't even touched you,” says the game warden.
“That's true, but you have all the equipment. For all I know you could
start at
any moment.”
“Have a nice day ma'am,” and he left.
Rob
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