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Aug. 6, 2009: With TBW's demise, who is left? Stocks of Citi, AIG, Fannie, Freddie shoot higher; GMAC's earnings; TIL tips
Rob Chrisman
I
guess this is how some borrowers feel when they lock a loan in a
volatile
market: http://www.megawoosh.com
Or maybe that is how any agent who has a lock with TBW feels. Today is
the
anniversary of the bombing of Hiroshima, and the date that some are
finding out
yesterday's news that a large lender is gone. "TAYLOR BEAN MUST CEASE
ALL
ORIGINATION OPERATIONS EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATETLY”. Taylor, Bean &
Whitaker
Mortgage Corp. (“TBW”) received notification from the U.S Department
of
Housing and Urban Development, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae (the
“Agencies”) that it was being terminated and/or suspended as an
approved seller
and/or servicer for each of those respective federal
agencies. “Regrettably,
TBW will not be able to close or fund any mortgage loans currently
pending
in its pipeline. TBW is cooperating with each of the Agencies with
respect
to its servicing operations and expects to continue to service mortgage
loans
as it restructures its business in the wake of these events.”
Supposedly TBW is
returning all original notes to the appropriate warehouse lenders and
returning
any closed files delivered via hard copy to the lenders/banks.
With
the unraveling of Taylor Bean, who are the better-known wholesale
lenders
out there receiving business from brokers? Wells Fargo is still in
the
game, as is ING, Flagstar, and Fifth Third. Citi is buying broker loans
from
their larger clients. United Mortgage, Security Atlantic, Provident,
Platinum Mortgage, Luther Burbank, Stearns Lending, First Cal, Union
Bank of
CA, Assurity, and Bank of Ann Arbor are some of the other players that
are
still left standing.
Hey,
is too late to buy stock in AIG, CIT, Fannie, or Freddie because
they’re cheap?
Their stocks all shot up yesterday: AIG’s +63% (a new CEO takes the
helm
Monday), CIT up 38%, Freddie was +31%, and Fannie was +30%. AIG, who
owns
Radian Group, announced that Radian made a $231.9 million profit.
Why did
analysts guess that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac climbed? On a rumor that
James
Lockhart, the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency that
oversees
them, will resign soon. Not to be outdone, Citigroup set a record
yesterday of
347 million shares trading in the stock market. Citi’s stock was up
over 10%
yesterday.
GMAC
Financial Service’s mortgage division, which includes Residential
Capital, saw
its pre-tax loss widen to $2 billion in the second quarter. “The distressed mortgage
market led to increased credit costs”. GMAC’s total after-tax loss for
the
quarter totaled $3.9 billion, down from a loss of $2.5 billion in the
year-ago
period. Company officials attributed the widening loss to a series of
charges: the
sale of its international mortgage assets, a goodwill impairment
related to its
insurance division, etc.
Short sales (where the house is sold for less than the outstanding
debt)
continue to increase. From the buyers point-of-view, although the
time-frame involved is variable, lenders appear to be improving their
service
and turnaround time in dealing with approving short sales. From the
seller's
point of view, a foreclosure impacts their credit rating for much
longer than a
short sale. At this point, the seller is probably going to be liable
for any
taxes, taxed at ordinary income levels, on the amount of debt that is
forgiven
by the original lender.
How
are brokers dealing with the new TIL issues? It is another hurdle, and they will survive,
but here is one question that has come up: “If MDIA applies to
creditors
collecting money only after making proper disclosures and a waiting
period of 3
days, would a brokers’ collection of money be an issue? Although a
broker
may not be a creditor, brokers may not
collect any fees from the borrower, aside from a reasonable fee to
receive a
credit report, until the borrower has received the initial TIL
disclosures. And
does this impact the HVCC rules, where brokers must place any
appraisal
orders through the lender’s approved HVCC compliant process and enter a
credit
card & pay upfront? The borrower
may not be charged a fee, including an appraisal fee, aside from a
reasonable
fee to receive a credit report, until the borrower has received the
initial TIL
disclosures. To expedite the process of ordering the appraisal, if
permitted by
the HVCC, the broker should be able to give the borrower the option of
providing his or her credit card information to the broker (for
delivery to the
creditor) and tell them that the borrower’s credit card will be not be
charged
until the borrower has received the early TIL disclosures.
Back
to something simple, like interest rates.
Yesterday we found out that the Non-Manufacturing
ISM survey surprisingly declined,
which helped rates, and in addition the Fed continues to buy about
$4
billion a day, $20 billion a week, of mortgage originations which is
expected
to continue into the future. How can that hurt? Of course, on some
days the
markets think that the recession is over with, and that tends to push
stocks
and rates higher – until it doesn’t, and then both head the other way.
And on
other days the market focuses on the supply: the Treasury announced
they will
auction $75 billion next week, $37 billion of 3-yr notes, $23 billion
in 10-yr
notes, and $15 billion of 30-yrs. All were about as expected, but that
doesn’t
mean the market won’t go through its usual gyrations next week during
the
sales.
This
morning the news has pretty much consisted of Jobless Claims. Workers
filing
claims dropped more sharply than expected last week. Initial Claims
were down
38,000 to 550k, lower than the 550k expected. The number of people
collecting
long-term unemployment benefits, however, rose by 69,000 to 6.31
million in the
week ended July 25th. (Continuing claims had dropped for
three
straight weeks.) And the four-week moving average for new claims fell
4,750 to
555,250 in the week ended August 1, which is the 6th
consecutive
week of dropping. After the news the yield on the 10-yr is up to
3.77% and
mortgages are worse by about .125.
Here
are some more handy tool definitions:
PHILLIPS SCREWDRIVER: Normally used to stab the vacuum seals under lids
or for
opening old-style paper-and-tin oil cans and splashing oil on your
shirt; but
can also be used, as the name implies, to strip out Phillips screw
heads.
STRAIGHT SCREWDRIVER: A tool for opening paint cans. Sometimes used to
convert
common slotted screws into non-removable screws.
PRY BAR: A tool used to crumple the metal surrounding that clip or
bracket you
needed to remove in order to replace a 50 cent part.
HOSE CUTTER: A tool used to make hoses too short.
HAMMER: Originally employed as a weapon of war, the hammer nowadays is
used as
a kind of divining rod to locate the most expensive parts adjacent to
the
object we are attempting to hit.
MECHANICS KNIFE: Used to open and slice through the contents of
cardboard
cartons delivered to your front door; works particularly well on
contents such
as seats, vinyl records, liquids in plastic bottles, collector
magazines ,
refund checks, and rubber or plastic parts . Especially useful for
slicing work
clothes, but only while in use.
DAMMIT TOOL: Any handy tool that you grab and throw across the garage
while
yelling DAMMIT at the top of your lungs. It is also, most often, the
next tool
that you will need.
Rob
(For
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