Sep. 16, 2011: Mortgage company performance survey findings; an opinion of the impact of regulations on job growth
Rob Chrisman
"I
went
for my routine check-up today and everything seemed to be
going fine until he asked me to drop my shorts! Do you think
I should change dentists?" Sometimes things aren’t what people
are expecting. I received this note. "I was wondering if you
are receiving many comments from LO's regarding the new comp
rules. As the dust settles, here is the effect: For the first
3 months under my commission plan, which was a fair number if
in a high volume market, I wound up earning $3,500 less than I
would have in the old plan, making my company obviously more
income. In the meantime I agreed to a time sheet that says I
only perform my duties for 37.5 hours a week and am paid for
these hours by money deducted from commissions. Are my clients
really better off? By the way, I have only been in the
business 35 years, so maybe I am missing something.”
I
am indeed hearing continued complaints about the LO
compensation structure, the internal pricing mechanisms that
must be put in place, and the questionable benefit on
borrowers. But on the other hand, I have also heard from some
loan agents that they are making more money under the new
plan. Either way, I have heard nothing about any serious moves
afoot to change or repeal the existing structure.
And
are companies really making more income? If you’re curious
about how your company is performing during 2011 YTD (July)
relative to your peers, STRATMOR Group
conducted a recent survey of 40 mid-size independent and
bank-owned mortgage originators to get a handle on this
question. The findings pretty much confirmed what just about
everybody suspected: across all survey participants: origination volume was
down 28% but net income margins were down 34% from 2010
levels. However, mortgage banks suffered the largest
decline in volume, but bank-owned lenders experienced the
biggest drop in profitability. Per STRATMOR total revenues actually
improved over 2010, but unfortunately expenses increased
faster than revenues rose. Other observations include:
purchase business has increased to 62% of total production,
the number of LO’s employed dropped by 10% (due to the impact
of the Fed comp rule, licensing requirements, etc.), LO
turnover was down significantly, and LO productivity fell by
another 15% after peaking in 2009. If you would like to
discuss this survey’s findings, contact Jim Cameron at the
STRATMOR Group jim.cameron@stratmorgroup.com.
Word
from mortgage origination trenches continues. "I would like to
comment on the FOMC’s and the Administration’s perception of
why the economy is so weak. All the talk is centered around
Easing, Monetary policy, Interest Rates, Stimulus etc. and
while low interest rates are great it is not interest rates
that are keeping the economy down at this point. Lack of jobs
and lack of confidence are the problem. Nothing is going to get
better until we achieve real job growth, and recent
Jobless Claims numbers are indicating that nothing is
changing. Job growth will stimulate a housing recovery and
both will boost the economy. Now the wiz bang geniuses in DC
think that they can tinker with rates and numbers and fix it
enough to get re-elected but I submit they are wrong.
Businesses and entrepreneurs (read new businesses and job
creation) need to have confidence that a fairly predictable
business and regulatory environment exists in which to
operate. That does not exist today hence businesses, large
and small, are not willing to risk and are sitting on whatever
cash they have. The
answer, I think, to repairing the economy and promoting
growth is not interest rates, a new Stimulus, the Fed buying
bonds, or whatever else they tried that hasn’t worked. The
answer is rolling back the tsunami of new regulations the
politicians have placed in motion. Businesses literally
do not know if what they are doing today is going to become
illegal next month or next year. We are experiencing “death
by regulation” in almost every industry. Hundreds of new regs
are still to be written and implemented. Our Industry is only
one, among many, that are being pummeled with new rules and
regs. Bottom line is: get the Government out of our way and
American businesses will get moving." So opined mortgage
marketing executive Derek Becker at derek@pugdogmarketing.com.
Citi, as do all major
investors, performs post-purchase due diligence on a sample
of loans purchased from Correspondents. Citi reminded
clients that, “Among other check-points, this process
identifies defects or instances of non-compliance with
investor policies, procedures, and quality expectations and
regulatory requirements. Our post-purchase defect rate goal
for each Correspondent is 5% or less. Through in-depth trend
analysis, we identified the top post-purchase defects for
conventional and government loans. Errors in documenting large
deposits and the source of gift funds continue to be cited as
top post-purchase defects.”
Citi
noted that the, “Top Post Purchase Defects are Assets: Paper
Trail for Large Deposit Missing (source documentation for
large deposits not included in the file, cumulative smaller
deposits not being documented as large deposit), and Source of
Gift Funds from Donor (missing withdrawal document or bank
statement from donor, missing documentation that verifies
funds were from an acceptable source). The findings should be
shared with your staff, and clients can find the information
at www.agentsite.com/solutionsunder the ‘Quality
Tools’ header.”
This
week Flagstar
spread the word to its clients that, “Effective September 15,
2011, Brokers and Correspondents, including VA Automatic
Correspondents are no
longer required to provide appraisals for IRRRL transactions
that refinance an existing Flagstar-serviced loan.
Flagstar to Flagstar IRRRLs submitted and denied for no
appraisal prior to September 15, 2011 may be resubmitted.” In
addition, “Effective for all FHA, VA and USDA Rural Housing loans
locked on or after September 22, all borrowers must have a
minimum FICO score of 620. Loans for borrowers having
FICO scores between 600 and 619 must be registered on or
before September 21, and must close on or before October 21.
The requirements above apply to all Brokers and
Correspondents, including DE Delegated and VA Automatic
Correspondents.” Flagstar is also undergoing adjustments to
its jumbo ARM and fixed-rate products. Please see its full
memo for details.
In
somewhat non-mortgage related market news yesterday, the
European Central Bank announced additional US dollar
liquidity-providing operations over year-end. More
specifically, the ECB “has decided, in coordination with the
Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and
the Swiss National Bank, to conduct three US dollar
liquidity-providing operations with a maturity of
approximately three months covering the end of the year. These
operations will be conducted in addition to the ongoing weekly
seven-day operations…these will all take the form of
repurchase operations against eligible collateral and will be
carried out as fixed rate tender procedures with full
allotment.” In English, Central banks are trying to settle
fears that European banks could be threatened by a shortage of
dollars, as they were at the height of the 2008 financial
crisis, and opened new lines of credit to institutions in the
first such show of force in more than a year.
This
news caused stock markets to rally - banks can borrow dollars
for up to three months, instead of just for one week as
before. And it seemed to go beyond just providing reassurance
that European banks would not be cut off by American lenders
wary of their financial state. The central banks seemed
determined to demonstrate that they would not hesitate to
deploy their combined weight to keep the European sovereign
debt crisis from becoming a bigger threat to the global
economy.
We
had a “slew” of economic news yesterday. The CPI was +.4%
(higher than expected), but Jobless Claims were +11k to 428k
(higher than expected), and the Empire State Manufacturing
Survey General Business Conditions index inched down one
point. Nationwide, Industrial Production increased 0.2% in
August, and Capacity Utilization edged up to 77.4%, and the
Philadelphia Fed Index of General Business activity within the
factory sector rose to -17.5 this month from -30.7 in August
and 3.2 in July.
The
impact of all this on rates was not particularly good, since
the ECB coordination with our Fed will dampen the bid for safe
assets (i.e., Treasury securities) and the CPI rose faster
than expected in August. The 10-year UST note yield increased
as much as 13 basis points to 2.12%, after having dropped to a
record low of 1.8770% three days ago and closed at 2.09%.
Volume in MBS was light today at just 64% of the 30-day
average, according to Tradeweb's experience, and prices were
worse by about .250.
There
is very little news today (only a preliminary September read
on Consumer Sentiment - expected higher to 56.5 from 55.7). In
the early going rates are nearly unchanged with the 10-yr at
2.08% and MBS prices unmoved from Thursday’s close.
Subject:
WHY
MEN DIE FIRST (Part 2; Part 1 was yesterday)
This is a question that has gone unanswered for
centuries...... but, now we know.
If you ask her to do something she doesn't enjoy....... that's
domination.
If SHE asks you.........it's a favor.
If you appreciate the female form and frilly underwear......
you're a pervert.
If you don't..............you're gay.
If you like a woman to shave her legs and keep in
shape..............you're sexist.
If you try to keep yourself in shape................you're
vain.
If you don't................you're a slob.
If you buy her flowers.............you're after something.
If you don't....................you're not thoughtful.
If you're proud of your achievements........ you're full of
yourself.
If you don't....................you're not ambitious.
If she has a headache............she's tired.
If you have a headache.............you don't love her anymore.
If you want it too often.........you're oversexed.
If you don't..........there must be someone else.
Men die first because they want to.
If you're interested,
visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web site
located at