Sep. 29, 2011: New repurchase risk tool; Foreign buyers in Florida paying cash; HUD changes multi-state rules
Rob Chrisman
With
two business days left in this month, and companies scrambling
to fund either high balance loans or Streamline loans where
rates have dropped enough to help the borrowers, do loan
officers still ask for a rush on files? Any underwriter who
doesn't mind listening to computer voices will find this sadly
funny: http://www.youtube.com/watch?vowhPngaSq4w&featurerelated.
Repurchases continue
to be a potential financial liability for lenders. There is a
new tool for assessing repurchase risk, and it comes to the
market from The
Prieston Group. Called the TPG MOSA Lender Score, it uses
the TPG Enterprise Risk Management process to assess the quality
of lender infrastructure for a variety of applications such as
insurance against rep and warrant violations resulting in
repurchase demands. And thus it gives lenders a scorecard that,
per the literature, gives lenders some predictive ability to
analyze their risk. A “focus on assessing a lender’s process in
originating mortgage loans and their associated risks by
leveraging years’ worth of experience in qualitatively assessing
these processes and translating these factors into a
quantitative score.” If you’d like to read the extensive
analysis of the methodology and reporting, write to Cliff Rossi
at crossi@criskadvisors.com
– it is worthwhile for folks managing buyback risk for their
companies.
Along
those
lines, I always tell people that the mortgage business is
originating the cleanest, best documented paper perhaps in its
history. But we're still paying for, and the public sees
headlines on, the sins of previous years. The Treasury
Department reported, “Mortgage
fraud reports by banks rose 88% last quarter as lenders
were asked to take back bad home loans sold to investors.” Most
of this, apparently, was due to auditors combing through loan
files closed in the past: 81% were from loans funded before
2008! Without repurchase requests, mortgage fraud reports would
have slid 3%. See the whole story, and not just the headlines,
at: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2011/09/reports-of-boom-era-mortgage-fraud-on-rise.html.
Continuing with the international flavor, who is buying a
significant percentage of homes in Florida? NAR, through the
Miami Herald, reports that almost 25% of Florida
homes sold last year went to an international buyer. The
report found that South Florida was a top destination for
foreign, non-U.S. resident, buyers versus 3% for the entire
nation. “Half of the international buyers planned to use the
home as a vacation home, while 21 percent planned to use it as
an investment property. Four
out of five used all cash for the purchase.”
You
can’t pick up a newspaper without seeing news on banks. Banks
own huge amounts of mortgage-backed securities, and any large
refi program that would allow people with underwater homes to
refinance through FNMA and FHLMC would negatively impact banks’
investment performance. The
“refinanceable” loans are in MBS’s carried at high premiums,
like 106 or 108, and if they pay off the banks get hit with a
6 or 8 point loss. Damned if we do and damned if we don’t.
And the Wall Street Journal reports that “the Federal Reserve is
taking a cautious stance with U.S. banks that have approached it
in recent weeks for permission to buy back more of their
shares.” But it depends on an individual bank’s capital
situation, and some banks are being told it is too early to use
capital that way. Regulators
want banks to meet already higher capital standards plus the
additional cushion being considered by the Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision even after a buyback.
Turning
to the agencies, several changes to HUD & FHA’s approved
lender requirements came out Friday in Mortgagee Letter 2011-34.
Lenders took note of it in that in the past FHA-approved lender
branches were restricted by states where they were able to
operate. A licensed originator working for an FHA approved
lender could only do business in the state where his or her
office was located and the states that shared its borders. Now,
however, with changes regarding the Single Family Loan
Origination Lending Area requirements, lenders are subject to
the same rules as non-approved brokers, and can operate in any
state where they are licensed. In addition, approved
mortgagees may not engage in “net branching,” and must pay all
expenses incurred in the operation of their home, branch and
direct lending offices directly. Expenses may not be paid by
anyone but the approved mortgagee. It is best to read it at: http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?id-34ml.pdf.
HUD
also recently sent out two
new FHA Mortgagee Letters, one addressing the annual
Mortgage Insurance Premium for loans with terms of 15 years or
less and a LTV of 78% or less at origination, and the other the
elimination of HUD headquarters concurrence of affordable
housing programs with borrowers whose household income exceeds
115 percent of the area median income (AMI). To read these
mortgagee letters and any attachments in their entirety, please
visit: http://www.hud.gov/offices/adm/hudclips/letters/mortgagee/.
Citi
(#5 originator in the 2nd quarter) issued one of its
“Quality Flash’s” on underwriting retirements accounts. This is
important, of course, given the number of folks who seem to be
retiring (if they can afford it). “We will accept loans for
purchase where the borrower is using funds from an individual
retirement account (IRA/Keogh) and/or tax-favored retirement
savings account (401k) toward the down payment, closing costs,
and reserves. However, because there are severe penalties for
early withdrawal (before retirement age), only the net value,
after any withdrawal and/or tax penalties are deducted, may be
considered in your underwriting decision.” Citi’s update goes
on. “No more than 60% of the face value should be used to
calculate the amount of funds available. Exception: 100% of the
face value can be used only if it can be verified the borrower
will not be subject to any penalties or taxes (e.g., if the
borrower has already withdrawn the funds and it can be verified
in a bank account, or if a statement is obtained from the
borrower's CPA or accountant).” Funds should be verified, and
the bulletin discusses other aspects as well – as always, it is
best to read the bulletin for details.
With
10/1 around the corner, I received this note: "At Mutual of Omaha Bank,
we already provide Jumbo mortgages (3/1 arm, 5/1 arm, 7/1 arm,
10/1 arm, and 15 year fixed rates) at up to 80% LTV to
$2,000,000. Jumbo loans are alive and well. Retail originations
only - not for wholesale or correspondent."
GMAC Bank (GMACB)
Approved Wholesale & Correspondent Clients were told that
“Rhode Island House Bill 6103, effective July 1, 2011, provides
that in Rhode Island a party to a civil union shall be entitled
to the same legal obligations, responsibilities, protections and
benefits afforded or recognized by the law of Rhode Island to
spouses. Loans submitted to GMAC Bank for underwriting from
states that allow civil unions or registered domestic partners
must contain either the Addendum to Residential Mortgage Loan
Application or a substantially similar form that identifies
whether each applicant is in a civil union or is a registered
domestic partner.”
Bank
of America
issued disaster updates from Tropical Storm Lee and the
wildfires in Pennsylvania and Texas respectively and also told
correspondents about TIL changes. “The Board is revising (the
rule) to clarify that creditors must disclosure the maximum
possible rate that will apply at any time during the first five
years after the date on which the first regular periodic payment
will be due, rather than after consummation. Effective with
applications taken on and after October 1, 2011, Clients must
adhere to this new interim rule for loans delivered to
Correspondent Lending for purchase.”
Rates
are hanging in there, enough so that yesterday the 5-year note
auction was well bid, with a bid-to-cover ratio the best since
May. “The 5-year auction stopped at 1.015%.” In other words, tie
up your money for 5 years and earn 1% the entire time. Ouch! But
that is where rates are. The Dow closed down 1.6%, while 10-year notes were
marked .125 higher and closed around 2.00%. Originator
supply was reportedly below Tuesday's $3+ billion dump, but
remained elevated at around $2.5 billion and MBS prices closed
higher by about .125.
This
morning
we had the final report on 2nd quarter GDP: +1.3%,
which is pretty much old news. Perhaps more importantly Jobless
Claims dropped to 391k, the lowest level since early April. Two
reports are also out at 10:00: Pending Home Sales Index (Aug),
which is expected to deteriorate to -1.8 from -1.3, and Freddie
Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey (w/e 9/29). In the early going rates
are basically unchanged from Wednesday’s close.
The tribal wisdom of the Lakota Sioux, passed on from generation
to generation, says that, "When you discover that you are riding
a dead horse, the best strategy is to dismount."
However, in government, education, and in corporate America,
more advanced strategies are often employed, such as:
1. Buying a stronger whip.
2. Changing riders.
3. Appointing a committee to study the horse.
4. Arranging to visit other countries to see how other cultures
ride dead horses.
5. Lowering the standards so that dead horses can be included.
6. Reclassifying the dead horse as living-impaired.
7. Hiring outside contractors to ride the dead horse.
8. Harnessing several dead horses together to increase speed.
9. Providing additional funding and/or training to increase dead
horse's performance.
10. Doing a productivity study to see if lighter riders would
improve the dead horse's performance.
11. Declaring that as the dead horse does not have to be fed, it
is less costly, carries lower overhead and therefore
contributes substantially more to the bottom line of the
economy than do some other horses.
12. Rewriting the expected performance requirements for all
horses.
And of course the most common:
13. Promoting the dead horse to a supervisory position.
If you're interested,
visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web site
located at