The
JD Power Survey is mostly known for car rankings. But the rating
firm also takes a look at mortgage lenders: http://www.jdpower.com/Finance/ratings/primary-mortgage-origination-ratings/.
Congrats
in
the above to Quicken
Loans, which came out on top. But Quicken Loans had some
backtracking to do recently. Its OnQ bulletin announced one
thing, which was corrected with the final result being that
Quicken will no longer offer the “non-agency loan product” in
2012. Although somewhat still confusing, one broker noted, "The
non-agency jumbo they are discontinuing is their jumbo loan
product. I have no idea what their agency jumbo is, other than
conforming loans that have the ability to go over $417K based on
high priced areas."
And
keeping on the jumbo news front, U.S. Bank Home Division
announced for its wholesale group that, "Effective immediately,
the combined loan amount appraisal requirement thresholds on all
Jumbo loan products have been changed as follows: For California only, U.S.
Bank Home Mortgage Wholesale Division will no longer require
two appraisals if the combined loan amounts for the 1st and
2nd mortgages totals less than $1.5 million. If the
combined loan amounts are equal or greater than $1.5 million,
two appraisals will be required. There has been no change on
appraisal policies for all other states; the $1.0 million
threshold still applies for the two appraisal requirement. For
all states, the combined loan amount threshold calculation for
appraisal purposes has been changed to use only the loans/liens
with U.S. Bank Home Mortgage that are secured by the subject
property and does not apply when another lender holds a 2nd lien
position that is subordinate to US Bank."
The
Justice Department announced the largest residential
fair-lending settlement in history, saying that BofA had agreed to pay
$335 million to settle allegations that its Countrywide
Financial unit discriminated against black and Hispanic
borrowers during the housing boom. “A department
investigation concluded that Countrywide loan officers and
brokers charged higher fees and rates to more than 200,000
minority borrowers across the country than to white borrowers
who posed the same credit risk. Countrywide also steered more
than 10,000 minority borrowers into costly subprime mortgages
when white borrowers with similar credit profiles received
regular loans, it found.” Critics are quick to point out that no
one from that company has ever served any time.
Like
it or not, it is an agency world in mortgage lending.
The FHFA, the agency in charge of the agencies, is weighing a
proposal that would reduce bankrupt homeowners’ loan balances.
The Financial Times reports that the plan would call for
Fannie and Freddie to allow homeowners in Chapter 13
bankruptcy proceedings who owe more on their housing debt than
their homes are worth to pay zero per cent interest for five
years, subject to approval by bankruptcy judges, according
to a letter to Congress. The “principal pay down plan”, which
would apply to mortgages owned and guaranteed by Freddie &
Fannie, would in effect act as a backdoor means of cutting
mortgage principal for “underwater” borrowers, or those with
negative equity. About one in four US borrowers, or 11 million
homeowners, are underwater, according to data provider
CoreLogic.
Proponents
believe
that reducing underwater borrowers’ loan balances would be the
most effective antidote to the US’s housing woes, but critics
believe that “such action would impose significant costs on
lenders, investors and taxpayers, and would have unforeseen
consequences on the future of US housing finance.”
In
the suit where California is suing Fannie and Freddie, the FHFA
told the Attorney General that it would not respond to a
detailed list of questions she sent the companies last month,
and that it had exclusive authority to regulate the companies
and that the AG lacked authority to compel responses.
The
plot somewhat thickened in the SEC suit against former Fannie
& Freddie executives. Daniel Mudd, chief
executive of Fortress (owner of NationStar), is to take a
leave of absence from work after he was charged with
securities fraud. The SEC has accused Mr. Mudd, Fannie’s chief
executive from 2004 to 2008, and five other former executives of
understating the holdings of high-risk home loans by Fannie and
fellow mortgage finance group Freddie Mac. The Financial Times
reports that, “Fortress did not disclose whether the leave was
paid or unpaid. In 2009 Mr. Mudd was paid $25.7 million,
including $24 million in stock awards on his appointment as
chief executive. Last year he received compensation of $3.3m,
according to regulatory filings.”
While
Congress
is muddling along, this time over the payroll tax break
extension, we were reminded that the MBA has been vocal on the
use of guarantee fees to pay for it. Dave Stevens’ key points
include: “The MBA does
not support using the GSE G-Fees as a new piggy bank for other
arbitrary tax policy. Please note, the Senate bill
requires that the GSEs raise G-Fees by 10bps on loans for the
next ten years with that 10bps to be allocated directly to the
treasury for this two month extension of the payroll tax cut.
Ten years of rate increases to homeowners, for their thirty year
mortgages, translate into a $4,000 cost (using an average $200k
loan) to every borrower who uses a GSE loan to pay for only a
two month payroll tax extension. The MBA has no objection to
raising G-Fees as necessary to offset their credit risk and to
offset debt obligations as necessary, and that the MBA is not
commenting at all about the payroll tax extension goals or the
term of the extension and remains non-partisan as to this
matter.”
Ed
DeMarco, acting director of FHFA, has also weighed in publicly
with the same concerns. “Relying on long-term revenue from the
enterprises as an offset for short-term tax cuts seems
inconsistent with the need to end the conservatorships and
reform our housing finance system. FHFA will implement whatever
Congress directs but I hope final resolution of the
conservatorships occurs much sooner than 10 years from now.”
Earlier
this week Fannie Mae updated its seller guide to reflect the
changes announced as part of HARP 2.0.
Although most of the changes were already specified in Fannie
Mae's release on the topic in November, Fannie eliminated the
requirement that the lender determine if the borrower has a
reasonable ability to repay the mortgage, and this caught
the market by surprise. In the release, Fannie Mae stated that
the "Reasonable ability to repay" terminology was removed from
the requirements because the seller guide already describes the
specific underwriting requirements that are applicable to each
transaction. Thus, for Refi Plus, the lender is no longer
required to determine the borrower has a reasonable ability to
repay the mortgage based on a review of the information provided
on the new loan applications. Analysts believe that it indicates
that the GSEs are much more willing to provide lenders with reps
and warrants relief that previously anticipated. Further,
although reps and warrants risk reduced by this change may not
be significant, it may still lead to a change in lender behavior
which in turn could lead to faster prepayments.
Put
another way, Fannie requires lenders to adhere to certain
underwriting guidelines and documentation procedures for loans
that are delivered to it with one of them being “borrower
ability to pay.” The previous Seller Guideline for HARP loans
that are processed through the manual underwriting channel (Refi
Plus) puts the onus on lenders to determine that the borrower
has 'a reasonable ability to repay the mortgage' based on
information provided by the borrower and payment history. It
also requires that lenders verify and ensure that the borrower
has a source of income. Under the revised guidelines, the
'borrower ability to pay' clause is no longer an underwriting
requirement. Ability to pay has traditionally been measured
using DTI (debt-to-income ratio) but as per HARP guidelines, no
DTI calculation or evaluation is required if the borrower's
payment does not increase by more than 20% (a 45 DTI cap applies
otherwise). Lenders have argued that lack of clarity on what
“reasonable ability” precisely means could expose lenders to
indemnification liability in the event that the loan defaults.
Whenever it is that lenders can roll the product out, they can
underwrite HARP loans assessing borrower credit based on a
straightforward metric (number of payments made) which reduces a
significant layer of complexity with respect to rep and
warranties liabilities for these loans.
Turning
to the economy, we learned from NAR yesterday that Existing Home
Sales were up 4% in November, with the sales pace about 12%
higher than a year ago. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist,
noted, “We’ve seen healthy gains in contract activity, so it
looks like more people are realizing the great opportunity that
exists in today’s market for buyers with long-term plans.” The
median price for existing homes of all types was $164,200, down
3.5 percent from a year earlier. Foreclosures and short sales
which typically sell at deep discounts accounted for 29 percent
of sales in November, up one percentage point from October but
lower than the 33 percent of distressed sales recorded in
November 2010. Last month foreclosures accounted for two thirds
of distressed sales and short sales for one third. A high level
of “contract failures” continued in November with 33% of NAR
members reported having at least one in November, much higher
than the 9% from a year ago. (Contract failures are
cancellations caused by declined mortgage applications, failures
in loan underwriting from appraised values coming in below the
negotiated price, or other problems including lower conforming
mortgage loan limits, home inspections and employment losses.)
But
as announced last week, NAR’s numbers have been miscalculated
since 2007. Without going into the statistical and
methodological reasons (including a drop in FSBO listings),
previous data was revised downward: down for 2010 data of 14.6%
from the 4.91 million existing home sales that NAR had projected
to 4.19 million sales. For the period 2007 to 2010 the downward
revisions altered figures for both sales and sales inventory by
14.3%. Oops.
This
morning
we had the third look at GDP, and moved it to +1.8% from +2.0%.
We also had 364k for Jobless Claims, down 4k from a revised
368k. Today we’ll also have the Chicago Fed Survey, Personal
Income & Consumption, the U. of Michigan Confidence numbers,
Leading Indicators, and another house price index. But a holiday mood
pervades the markets with little volatility: the 10-yr is at
1.93% and MBS prices are unchanged.
Today my wife asked me, "What are you doing?"
I replied, "Nothing."
She said, "But yesterday that's what you told me you were
doing."
I said, "That's right - I wasn't finished."
If you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the
STRATMOR Group web site located at