In
this environment, not only are many mortgage lenders making good
returns, but the Treasury is as well. The Treasury Department
may announce today that taxpayers have made a $25 billion profit
on mortgage bonds purchased at the height of the meltdown, per
the Wall Street Journal. Treasury had spent about $225 billion
on purchases of mortgage debt over 16 months before it began
selling the securities last year, and it completed the last of
the sales last week of debt backed by Fannie & Freddie.
Leader
Bank, N.A. is hiring underwriters, processors and closers. Leader
is
headquartered in Arlington, MA (near Boston) and is a federally
chartered community bank and was the 10th largest lender in the
Commonwealth in 2011. All job postings and descriptions can be
found at www.leaderbank.com.
Qualified candidates should send their cover letter and resume
to jobs@leaderbank.com
with the position they wish to apply for in the subject line.
Leader Bank, N.A. is an Equal Opportunity and Affirmative Action
Employer. Leader Bank, N.A. does not discriminate because of
any protected class.
(And
on the opposite coast, in Southern California, JMAC Lending
is looking for experienced underwriters and funders for
its Irvine location. The listing was posted last week, but the
company revised its e-mail for resumes – it is careers@jmaclending.com.)
As
the commentary has mentioned several times, if loan officers think
that the pricing, policies, and procedures for HARP 2.0 loans
will be a "walk in the park", they are sadly mistaken.
First, if course, is the pricing. Should/would an investor pay
the same price for a 150% LTV 4% loan as they would a 70% LTV 4%
loan, everything else being equal? It comes down to investor
appetite, which has a direct correlation between who the
original investor on a refinanced loan was, and what are the
existing reps & warrants - who was servicing the loan? Which
leads to the second complication (servicing) and many lenders
saw the confusion on that issue when Wells Fargo's
wholesale and correspondent divisions Friday spent the day
revising their announced guidelines.* Many lenders are rolling
out the product today, and a good number of the LTV caps based
on the differences between refinances done on loans already in a
particular servicer’s portfolio and those outside of it. Not
only that, but each investor may have different LTV caps based
not only on servicing but also the agency (Freddie and Fannie)
and on MI company - and not all MI companies will take this
product. And each wholesaler will have varying guidelines for
their brokers. Sounds like fun.
(*Well Fargo spread
the word to both wholesale and correspondent clients that, "The
max LTV for Fannie Mae DU Refi Plus loans that are non-Wells Fargo serviced
will remain at 105% LTV/110% CLTV. Although it was previously
communicated that we would accept non-Wells Fargo serviced
loans, this decision has changed.")
In
other agency news, the
FHFA prohibited both Freddie and Fannie from holding any
interest in a mortgage carrying a private transfer fee.
The proposal has been kicking around for about a year, and
impact the fees that are sometimes attached to a property by the
developer and homeowners have to pay it when reselling the
house. The rule does not apply to private transfer fees paid to
homeowner associations, condominiums, cooperatives and some
tax-exempt organizations. The FHFA rule can be found here: http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/23493/PrivateTransferFeesFinalRule31412.pdf.
When
in doubt, throw stones at your competitors! Apparently the
credit rating agency Moody's,
which many believe is just as much to blame as any other older
rating agency for their share of the credit crisis, is
questioning the work of some of its competitors. “However, some
recent cases have come to market for which we believe increased
risk has not been adequately mitigated for the level of ratings
assigned by another agency,” they said: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-15/securitization-risk-rising-as-standards-ease-moody-s-says-1-.html.
Fight on the playground at recess!
Big
day today - I guess. Today
is when lenders must submit fully compliant Uniform Appraisal
Data (UAD) electronic appraisal report data to the Uniform
Collateral Data Portal (UCDP). My bet is that everyone
reading this already has it (to ensure UAD delivery compliance
into UCDP) in place. Now, if only we wouldn't hear rumors of
problems with the portal (UCDP).
Friday
I noted a possible problem with the public’s awareness of HARP
and HAMP. The source of the survey on awareness of HARP and HAMP
is FreeScore.com.
The
CFPB’s latest maneuverings, focused on privacy &
confidential information, are turning some heads. Last Monday
the agency addressed the treatment and scope of confidentiality
protections accorded information collected from supervised
institutions through the CFPB’s supervisory process. The
bulletin in question states that institutions providing
privileged information to the CFPB pursuant to a supervisory
request will not waive any privilege that attaches to such
information. In addition, the bulletin indicates the CFPB will
treat information obtained through the supervisory process as
confidential and privileged. Further, the agency notes that it
will only disclose such information to prudential and state
regulators, when necessary and/or appropriate, and to law
enforcement agencies, only where justified, as determined by the
CFPB. NAMB, for one, announced that it is “working for a
legislative solution to help protect the status of privileged
information to ensure a positive working relationship with our
regulators”: http://www.cfpbmonitor.com/2012/03/13/the-cfpb-takes-another-stab-at-the-privilege-waiver-issue/.
More
specifically,
the CFPB’s proposed rule would add a new section providing that
“a person's submission of any information to the CFPB in the
course of the CFPB's supervisory or regulatory processes would
not waive or otherwise affect any privilege that such person
might claim under federal or state law with respect to the
submitted information.” “The Dodd-Frank Act did grant the CFPB
all the powers and duties of the prudential regulators regarding
their transferred consumer financial protection functions. The
CFPB concludes that this grant of powers and duties includes the
ability to receive privileged information from supervised
entities without resulting in a waiver of any privileges.” See
for yourself: http://www.consumerfinance.gov/pressreleases/consumer-financial-protection-bureau-proposes-rule-for-the-protection-of-privileged-information/.
Is
there a correlation between the Miami condo market between 2003
and 2007 and today’s Treasury market? Perhaps - David Zervos
with Jefferies
notes that during that time period “regulatory arbitrage” in the
mortgage market was taking place wherein faulty correlation
assumptions allowed risky loans to be pooled so that 60 to 70
percent of the assets were deemed zero risk weight AAA
securities. “As such, banks could lever these assets ad
infinitum with no capital charge - and they did. A few years of
massive levered spread collection, along with some very large
bonus payouts, were followed by the mother of all bailouts.” As
the securitizers looked for more and more loans to pool, in
order to feed the voracious bank balance sheet arbitrage
monster, they reduced lending standards and drove house prices
to record heights - in other words, government induced
non-economic buying of an asset. In sub-prime it was a
government induced regulatory arbitrage that led to non-economic
buying of Miami condos. “The prices were driven up for short
term gain, even though the longer term valuations were absurd.
Folks got paid huge within this short time frame via the
arbitrage, while the long term time bomb ticked. And when the
bomb went off, anyone with levered inventory was properly
gutted! The US Treasury market has also been affected by a
government induced regulatory arbitrage – it is called ‘QE’.”
Traders and investors, instead of buying & flipping condos,
are buying and flipping long dated Treasury and Agency MBS
securities. “The opportunity to get in front of a non-economic,
federally backed, arbitrage induced buyer of duration is a gift
from heaven.” And we can guess how it might end – could last
week’s rate movements have been a signal?
This
also peripherally leads to a note about the world’s stock
markets. Last week, in Japan, the Nikkei was flattish but closed
out the week up about 2%. It is now up nearly 20% for year – the
best performing stock market in the world! But in Hong Kong the
Hang Seng is up over 15%, China is +9%, Brazil is +19%, Europe
+12%, and our S&P 500 is up over 11%. Stocks and bonds don’t
always move in opposite directions, but remember that many
components of what pushes stocks higher can also push rates
higher – primarily expanding economies. For originators, the bad
news is higher rates, but the good news, in theory, is that an
improving economy will help more borrowers (and properties)
qualify.
At
least the markets quieted down Friday after a week of rate
worsening. The 10-yr T-note closed at 2.30%, with a renewed
focus on gas prices for anyone who has filled up recently. This
week is an odd week for economic news in this country – mostly
housing news. Today is yet another housing market index number
(NAHB's), tomorrow are the twins Housing Starts and Building
Permits, Wednesday the MBA comes out with last week's
applications, Existing Home Sales will come out on Wednesday
along with another housing index (this one from the FHFA), and
New Home Sales will be released on Friday. Jobless Claims and
Leading Indicators are scheduled for Thursday.
One
of the interesting things to note is the growing gap between
median prices for new versus existing homes. As of January,
median existing home price was about $155k and median new home
price was about $217k – 40% higher. There is a standing joke
about driving a new car off the lot drops the value by 50% - but
is that the case with a home? Are there so few new homes that
people are really paying a 40% premium for one? Stay tuned! In
the meantime, rates & prices are a little better this
morning: the 10-yr is at
2.27% and MBS prices are about .125 better.
Senior
Citizen Texting Codes:
ATD:
At The Doctors
BFF: Best Friend Fell
BTW: Bring the Wheelchair
BYOT: Bring Your Own Teeth
FWIW: Forgot Where I Was
GGPBL: Gotta Go Pacemaker Battery Low
GHA: Got Heartburn Again
IMHO: Is My Hearing-Aid On
LMDO: Laughing My Dentures Out
OMMR: On My Massage Recliner
OMSG: Oh My! Sorry, Gas
ROFLACGU: Rolling On Floor Laughing And Can't Get Up
TTYL: Talk To You Louder
If
you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR
Group web site located at