In
the old days, when rotary dial telephones roamed the earth, and
it took more time to dial a 8 or 9 or 0 than it did a 1 or 2 or
3, area codes were set up accordingly. (That is why the big
cities in the 1940’s, population density-wise, all had the small
numbers like 213, 312, 212, 214, etc. - it took less time to
dial.) Rotary dial telephones are pretty much gone, and
technology marches on: the results from the latest Fed study
show that one in five
Americans with mobile phones used their mobile phone to access
financial accounts last year, and mobile banking is poised
to expand further over the next year with usage possibly
increasing to one in three mobile phone users by 2013. Here is
the study, which certainly has ramifications for mortgage
bankers and Realtors: http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/other/20120314b.htm.
"Rob,
when
are you going to write about how the management personnel drain
from Freddie continues, which doesn’t help that agency, and
while there are ways around the comp cap at the agencies, who in
their right mind would want a job where they are the targets of
the press and Congress, their destiny is not in their own hands,
and their pay is capped? But the compensation changes at the
agencies that were supposed to be a maximum of $500k also, I’ve
heard, includes allowing $2 million in deferred comp." (Editor’s
note: I can't really address compensation specifics, or
personnel rumors, but it is well known in the industry that
anyone from Fannie whose sole job was to focus on the Bank of
America relationship is...well, things have changed.)
Yes,
investors
are doing things that are not necessarily HARP 2.0-related. Here
are some recent underwriting happenings:
Guidelines
on
HARP 2.0 have been
released by Fannie Mae;
these will affect applications dated January 1, 2011 and after
for the refinance of loans delivered before June 1, 2009. DU was updated last weekend
to reflect the expansion of HARP and Property Inspection Waiver
offerings. Fannie has updated policies on lender-placed
insurance, including use, coverage requirements, deductibles,
carrier eligibility, and allowable reimbursable expenses. Additional
guidance is available regarding submitting property insurance
claims to the insurance provider and remitting outstanding
insurance funds to Fannie after a mortgage is liquidated on
account of either a foreclosure sale or a deed-in-lieu of
foreclosure.
As
mentioned yesterday, lenders are reminded that appraisal forms
for all conventional mortgage loans delivered from here on are
required to be submitted through the Uniform Collateral Data
Portal and subsequently deemed “successful.”
Freddie
Mac is
cracking down: the GSE will begin charging fees for submissions
of poor quality data, late reporting, and general noncompliance
with the standard servicing procedures starting on June 1st. If called upon by a
servicer to assist with data research and reconstruction,
Freddie will charge a per loan amount, an hourly rate, or (if a
third party is engaged) the actual costs, depending on the
circumstances. Failure
to take the precautions necessary to prevent an REO rollback
will result in a $1,000 fee for each rollback that occurs. As of September 1st,
it will levy a Reporting Noncompliance Fee of anywhere from
$5,000 to $15,000 on servicers who don’t report at least 75% of
the loans they’re servicing for Freddie by the fifth business
day after the accounting cycle cutoff. To help whip servicers into
shape, Freddie has introduced the Servicer Success File Review,
a review of delinquent loan files designed to help pinpoint
weaknesses in servicing performance. The Servicer Success
Scorecard has also been expanded to more effectively assess
servicers and provide useful feedback.
Chapter
26 of Freddie’s Single
Family Servicer/Seller Guide, which details requirements
for borrower funds, has been updated and renamed “Borrower
Funds.” It now gives
definitions of “borrower personal funds,” outlines eligible
sources of borrow funds, provides additional options for sources
of borrower funds, and specifies that cash-out proceeds are not
eligible to be considered reserves in the underwriting process. In light of the changes to
funding sources, the Alt 97® Mortgage is being retired. Other changes cover
requirements for Cash deliveries of fixed-rate super conforming
products; the revised Forms 16SF, 1107SF, and 1034A; the Party
Role Identifier ULDD data points; and post settlement delivery
fees. You can view the
updates in full at http://freddiemac.sparklist.com/t/404446/4682830/4962/34/.
Yesterday
the
commentary noted, when discussing HARP 2.0, "Not all MI
companies will take this product." But Evie Fass, the manager of
HARP Initiatives for PMI,
wrote, "To my knowledge all of the MI’s are allowing new
servicer loans with no LTV cap." Thank you.
Along
those
lines, MGIC
announced, “If it meets Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s guidelines,
it meets MGIC’s guidelines” and put out a series of new 30
minute webinars on the topic. They start next week and go into
early April - all the details can be seen at www.mgic.com/harp.
Yes,
HARP 2.0 is not always straightforward, but plenty of
investors (both correspondent and wholesale) are doing them at
.75% above standard rates. (Hey, you didn’t
think a 150% LTV loan would be priced the same as a 60% LTV
deal, did you?) As I’ve said in the past, this is not the Scotsman
Guide, and there is no desire to publish the name of every
lender doing them. CMG
Financial (which does the EA products, along with
Freddie’s), Interbank,
EverBank wholesale, Guild, Stearns, Wells, Flagstar, the
list goes on. A few large correspondents are noticeably absent,
and are still developing their programs. GMAC Bank’s systems
“currently reflect a maximum LTV of 105%, an update will be
effective on March 26, 2012 and will contain the following
overlays revisions: Non - GM to GM transactions (Max 95% LTV /
Max 45% debt ratio). GM to GM transactions will follow FNMA’s
guidelines.”
Chase
clarified when it is acceptable to provide an HO-3
“Comprehensive” policy in lieu of an HO-6 “Walls In” policy for
Conventional and FHA PUD transactions. Chase has revised the
passive income documentation requirements for Agency loan
transactions submitted to ZiPPY and all Non-Agency loan
transactions.
Loan
officers
know that the Federal Reserve has announced that they will raise
interest rates in 2014 at the earliest, but that doesn’t mean
another two years of 4% mortgage rates, however – and we’re
seeing that now. The
Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates, or the yield on Treasury
securities – we’re not under that kind of government control
yet. External factors like inflation and the global economy also
have an influence. Rising rates are certainly a possibility,
then, for a variety of reasons. And LO's are always having to
remind their borrowers that rates naturally fluctuate; in fact,
it’s the one thing that’s remained constant over the past fifty
years, with 1-1.5% annual changes as the norm. With little room
to fall, rates, analysts believe, have nowhere to eventually go
but up. Also keep in mind that though the Federal Funds rate
sets the lowest lending rate available, mortgage rates can both
rise and fall even when the Fed Funds rate remains unchanged. Other
factors to consider are an outperforming economy, which would
increase demand for lending capital, and increased demand for
mortgages (a somewhat ironic consequence of HARP 2.0, perhaps).
All this, of course, makes the exact timing of any mortgage rate
increase difficult to forecast.
While
it was very similar to the last statement, the latest Fed
announcement reflected some
degree of improvement in the economy. This caused
investors to reduce expectations for further Fed easing through
purchases of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The chance that
the Fed would produce enormous additional demand had helped
propel MBS prices to their recent highs, so this news caused
investors to sell mortgage-backed securities. The statement also
acknowledged that rising energy prices will lead to higher
short-term inflation. Investor concern that this will produce
higher long-term inflation caused MBS prices to fall and
mortgage rates to rise.
The
Economist’s headline is poignant: “U.S. economic recovery is
uninspiring but real.” Many parts of the U.S. economy are
showing signs of life, while others have stopped worsening. A
few sectors, such as exports, are weakening. "But economic
recovery doesn't have to wait for all of America's imbalances to
be corrected," the magazine notes. "It only needs the process to
advance far enough for the normal cyclical forces of employment,
income and spending to take hold - it now seems that, at last,
they have."
And
Wells Fargo’s economics
department notes that, “The sluggish income growth
associated with the current cycle has prompted a debate as to
whether weak income gains are related to the composition and pay
of the jobs that have been added in recent years or simply due
to excess slack in the labor market. Our analysis finds that
while certain low-wage subsectors have indeed experienced a
relatively strong recovery, when subsectors are aggregated into
broader earnings quintiles, there is less support for the
hypothesis that job gains have been mostly concentrated at the
low end of the earnings distribution. Our findings therefore
suggest that, rather than the quality of job growth, labor
market slack is likely the overriding factor accounting for the
sluggish income growth witnessed in recent years.”
Yesterday’s
market
certainly continued last week’s move, with the U.S. 10-yr back
up to 2.38%. Volatility is high, pushing up mortgage company
hedge costs as these companies are selling production into the
worsening market. We saw many lenders worsening prices yesterday
afternoon, and by the end of the day MBS prices were worse about
.5.
Today
we’ll have February’s Housing Starts, expected fractionally
higher, and Building Permits also expected higher. In the early
going rates are a shade
better with the 10-yr down to 2.34% and MBS prices better by
about .125.
Here are some easy puzzles. Answers tomorrow - don't write asking
for hints or answers.
1. Johnny's mother had three children. The first child was
named April. The second child was named May. What was the third
child's name?
2. There is a clerk at the butcher shop, he is five feet ten
inches tall and he wears size 13 sneakers. What does he weigh?
3. Before Mt. Everest
was discovered, what was the highest mountain in the world?
4. How much dirt is there in a hole that measures two feet by
three feet by four feet?
5. What word in the English Language is always spelled
incorrectly?
6. Billy was born on December 28th, yet his birthday is always
in the summer. How is this possible?
7. In California, you cannot take a picture of a man with a
wooden leg. Why not?
8. What was the President's Name in 1975?
9. If you were running a race, and you passed the person in 2nd
place, what place would you be in now?
10. Which is correct to say, "The yolk of the egg are white" or
"The yolk of the egg is white"?
11. If a farmer has 5 haystacks in one field and 4 haystacks in
the other field, how many haystacks would he have if he combined
them all in another field?
If
you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR
Group web site located at