Hey,
not every prediction about the future is right, right? In my
visits around the nation to different companies and mortgage
banking groups, I continue to hear very positive things about
volume and profits. And sure enough, the MBA has come out
with a "new and improved" volume scenario for 2012, including
raising refi volume predictions to $870 billion up from the $400
billion estimate last summer. (Now, if only companies could
focus on margins instead of volumes.) Here you go: http://www.mbaa.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/80910.htm.
And
several firms are looking to capture their share of the market
by adding staff:
I
have been retained by an
established, independent retail mortgage banker based in
Northern California is looking to fill a senior finance
position. The candidate would be well versed in all
aspects of mortgage banking accounting including servicing,
financial analysis, and cash modeling. Several years of
experience in the industry, a B.S. in accounting, along with
strong team player skills are highly recommended. The company is
originating $2 billion per year with a footprint west of the
Rockies. If you know someone who might be interested in this
opportunity with a good company, please have them contact me at
rchrisman@robchrisman.com.
Informative Research is
looking to fill two sales positions. One of the
opportunities will be in Southern California and the other will
concentrate on national strategic accounts, and the ideal
candidates will have extensive contacts in the industry and who
can make an immediate impact. “The genuine team culture and
underlying family company values make Informative Research a
great place to work.” The company has been in business for 66 years, providing
settlement services and risk solutions to brokers, bankers, and
servicers nationwide: http://www.informativeresearch.com/.
Resumes should be sent to John LaBriola, EVP of Sales, at johnl@informativeresearch.com.
And on the other side
of the nation, PRMG has
immediate openings for operations, underwriting and sales
people to serve the New England territory after announcing
the expansion of its wholesale operations into the Northeastern
United States region. PRMG’s new Regional Manager, Brian Burke
will be responsible for recruiting and developing a strong
presence in the New England territory, while overseeing a full
service fulfillment operations center that will be underwriting
and funding locally, including generating business in the states
of Maine, Connecticut, Vermont, Massachusetts, Delaware, New
Hampshire, and Rhode Island. Since 2001, “Built by originators
for originators”, PRMG (www.prmg.net)
has been ranked as the #1 independently owned FHA lender by the
Santa Ana, CA HOC center. Please send resumes to Brian Burke at
bburke@PRMG.NET.
Remember
when
S&P downgraded the United States – did our stock market
plunge, or borrowing costs skyrocket? The traditional question
is, “Do rating agencies
move the market, or reflect news that the markets already
know?” Bloomberg notes the diminishing impact that rating
agencies have with investors, and as we know in the mortgage
business, Moody’s, S&P’s, and Fitch’s miss-rating of
residential MBS’s helped contribute to investor’s nervousness: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-28/moody-s-fading-relevance-exposed-in-nordic-downgrades.html.
That
being said, newer rating agencies have emerged with “new and
improved” business models. For example, the “corporate
investigation agency” Kroll
Bond Rating is expanding its reach through affiliations,
investments, and acquisitions. The agency’s priority at present
is to develop its overseas operations, with plans to rate
European banks and asset-backed deals by the end of 2013. And a
few years back Kroll acquired Lace Financial, one of very few
credit-rating firms registered with the SEC, which makes it
easier for issuers and investors to use a firm’s ratings. Kroll
now holds more than 8.7% of the market share for US
commercial-mortgaged backed deals.
What
is new with QM rules (not to be confused with QRM!)?
Law firm Ballard Spahr
points out that a few politicians are circulating a draft of a
letter on the Hill which urges the CFPB to “craft a safe harbor
[in the Ability to Repay/QM rule] that strikes the right balance
between protecting consumers from poorly underwritten mortgages
while ensuring they have access to safe and affordable mortgage
products.” The letter expresses the concern that, without the
safe harbor and the legal certainty that the safe harbor
arguably would provide, there is little incentive for lenders to
make “qualified mortgages” which may restrict the availability
of credit for some borrowers. Under Dodd-Frank Section 1412, a
loan that meets the definition of a “qualified mortgage” (QM) is
presumed to meet the ability to repay requirements of the rule.
In May, 2011, the Fed proposed two possible standards for a QM.
The critical difference between the two standards is that, under
one alternative, the origination of a QM would create a safe
harbor that the lender has complied with the ability to repay
requirements and, under the other alternative, it would create a
rebuttable presumption of compliance. “The Ability to Repay/QM
regulation is among the most anxiously awaited final rules to be
issued by the CFPB and is expected to be issued this summer.”
Read the congressional draft letter: http://www.cfpbmonitor.com/files/2012/05/Congressional-QM-Draft-Letter.pdf.
The
CFPB proposed procedures for asserting its supervisory authority
over nonbanks engaged in conduct that could potential pose risk
to consumers. Under the
Dodd-Frank Act, the CFPB has authority to supervise a nonbank,
regardless of its size, that the CFPB has reasonable cause
to determine “is engaging, or has engaged, in conduct that poses
risks to consumers with regard to the offering or provision of
consumer financial products or services.” This includes related
services like payday loans, credit cards, or private education
loans.
Organizations
are
doing what they can to educate their members. For example, in
New Jersey, the NJPMO
is having a conference to discuss the “CFPB Flat Fee Proposals
on Mortgage Originator Compensation” on June 5th in
Iselin, New Jersey. (For information contact Brian@NJPMO.org.)
At
NAMB, its Board and
Government Affairs Committee convened a task force to read and
analyze the CFPB’s release on “Rules to Simplify Mortgage Points
and Fees”. “The intent of the new rules that will be proposed
this summer and implemented in January 2013, are intended to
make it easier for consumers to understand mortgage costs and
compare loans so they can choose the best deal.” The CFPB is
considering proposals that would require an interest-rate
reduction when consumers elect to pay discount points, require
lenders to offer consumers a no-discount point loan option, ban origination charges
that vary with the size of a loan (i.e., flat origination
fees), set qualification and screening standards for every
person who originates loans, prohibit paying steering incentives
to mortgage loan originators, and so on. A full plate!
In
Columbia, Maryland, on June 5th, the MMBA is hosting,
“Are you Prepared for Upcoming Regulation that will Change the
Face of Mortgage Lending?” “This event will review several key
topics, including but not limited to: components of Dodd-Frank
and regulation updates, why the changes are happening,
regulatory compliance, expectations, risk of non-compliance, and
how the changes affect everyone's day-to-day duties, and several
other topics. Go to www.mdmba.org to register, and
questions should be directed to info@mdmba.org.
Turning
to recent Fannie news,
Fannie Mae has enhanced and clarified HARP guidelines based on
questions received by lenders over the past few months. The
clarifications and enhancements, all of which can be found in
the revised Selling Guide, address Responsible Lending
Practices, subordinate financing for co-ops, eligibility for
modified mortgages, multiple financed properties for the same
borrower, significant derogatory credit events, general
eligibility requirements and underwriting considerations for DU
Refi Plus and Refi Plus, valuations and project standards,
escrow account requirements, and resubordination.
The income and employment guidelines in the Selling Guide have
been updated as well and now include additional guidelines on
the evaluation of variable income, continuity of income, income
verification, and income sources with a defined expiration
date. Sections on employment documentation and verification;
bonus, commission, overtime, secondary, rental, and seasonal
income; income reporting on IRS forms; and assessing and
verifying income for Desktop Underwriter® purposes have also
been updated.
The July 2012 Release Notes on DU for government loans are now
available at https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/duguides/pdf/current/rndug712.pdf;
as a reminder, FAQ can be viewed at https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/duguides/pdf/current/rndodu83aprupdfaq.pdf.
As of July 21st, DU users can expect updates to VA bankruptcy
and foreclosure messaging, a variety of HUD underwriting issues,
FHA reserves calculation on 3-4 unit properties, and the FHA
TOTAL Mortgage Scorecard.
Desktop Originator and DU users are reminded that the practice
cases and documentation have been updated in support of the
changes made to the method of assigning Social Security
numbers. The SSNs associated with the test cases have been
updated accordingly, and the test credit reports that use the
old SSN information will no longer be in use as of June 16th.
And
through this, some lenders are continuing to deal with
“unsalable” loans while other companies have carved out a niche
for themselves dealing with these loans. For example, Right House Capital is
a mortgage consulting firm who specializes in assisting banks
and mortgage companies liquidate their unsalable loans. RHC has
access to all three GSE’s and “because these are purchased
strictly based on the AUS (and thus no overlays), your
agency-eligible loan can price very close to, if not above,
par.” Of course, not every loan is going to be sold near par,
but if you have some loans that you can’t sell, it might be
worth contacting Craig Beard at craigbeard@righthousecapital.com.
(And no, this is not a paid announcement.)
I
don’t think that this index has ever risen in its history, but
yesterday we learned that the Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller
National Composite home-price indexes fell 2% in the 1st
quarter and 1.9% year-to-year, and prices are down roughly 35%
from their peak in the second quarter of 2006. The Case-Shiller
index of 10 major metropolitan areas was down 2.8% in March from
a year earlier and the 20-city index was off 2.6%. We also found
out that the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence index
decreased to 64.9 in May from a revised 68.7 in April. But
neither really has the strength to move rates like the events in
Asia and Europe tend to do.
Traders
continue to see a significant pick up in the amount of Fannie
30-yr 3.0’s that originators have been selling (containing
3.25-3.625% loans). Fannie and Freddie 3.0’s represented <1%
of the total flows in the market 3 weeks ago, 2 week ago they
represented about 6%, and last week 3.0’s
represented as much as 15.5% of all hedging activity.
Monday,
uh,
I mean Tuesday, was pretty quiet rate-wise. Our 10-yr closed
around 1.73% and agency MBS prices were a shade worse on
below-average volumes. Locks seem to be slowing down, and in
fact the MBA’s mortgage application index dropped 1.3% last week
(purchases were -.6%, refi’s were -1.5% but still account for
about 77% of all apps). About the only news is at 7AM PST with
NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index for April – hardly a rate mover.
In the early going the 10-yr is down to 1.68% - look for a
marked improvement in rate sheet pricing!
Puns (Part 2 of 4):
I wondered why the baseball was getting bigger. Then it hit me!
Broken pencils are pointless.
I tried to catch some fog, but I mist.
What do you call a dinosaur with an extensive vocabulary? A
thesaurus.
England has no kidney bank, but it does have a Liverpool.
I used to be a banker, but then I lost interest.
I dropped out of communism class because of lousy Marx.
All the toilets in New York's police stations have been stolen.
The police have nothing to go on.
If
you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR
Group web site located at