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Jun. 1, 2012: Fed's vote next week on Basel III will impact rate sheets; Beazer to form rental REIT; weak jobs number pushes rates even lower
Rob Chrisman
Are
politicians always calm and collected and afraid to voice their
opinion? Not necessarily – you gotta check this out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?vh19FZtDprd0&featureyoutu.be.
(You'd think those around him would show a little more
interest...)
The north Atlantic
hurricane season begins today and lasts through Nov. 30.
The U.S. Census Bureau, who like numbers, point out that about
37 million (12% of the nation’s population) live in the coastal
portion of states stretching from North Carolina to Texas — the
areas most threatened by Atlantic hurricanes. Last year there
were “only” seven hurricanes during the 2011 Atlantic hurricane
season, four of them Category 3-strength or higher with Irene
being the only hurricane to make landfall. Speaking of names,
the Weather Bureau officially began naming hurricanes in 1950. Hurricane names rotate in
a six-year cycle with the 2012 list being a repeat of the
2006 names with “bad” storm names being retired. For the first
time since 1997, the World Meteorological Center did not retire
a storm name.
Speaking
of
names, I’ve heard of a fish, but not a storm, named Wanda. And Wanda DeLeo is now Deputy
Director of the FHFA, and running a new office to
implement its Strategic Plan for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
Conservatorships: the Office of Strategic Initiatives. Remember
that this is the plan which was sent to Congress is February
established objectives and steps for FHFA to take to meet its
obligations as conservator of the two government sponsored
enterprises (GSEs). Under the plan, the next phase of the
conservatorship will require FHFA to build a new infrastructure
for the secondary mortgage market, contract in a gradually
manner the GSEs dominant presence in the marketplace while
simplifying and shrinking their operations, and maintain
foreclosure prevention activities and credit availability for
new and refinanced mortgages.
Europe
is probably getting vertigo from standing on the edge of the
financial cliff for so long, as a Chase trader put it. But that
has not stopped Basel
III, which impacts many things including the ability for
depositories to hold various amounts of servicing, which in turn
directly impacts
servicing values and rates/prices for borrowers. The plan
is going to be voted on next week by the Federal Reserve: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/30/financial-regulation-basel-idUSL1E8GU4JQ20120530.
The Wall Street Journal reports that “investors can buy stakes
in malls, apartment towers, timber forests and even cellphone
towers through real-estate investment trusts. Now, add to the
list: single-family homes transformed into rental properties.
Beazer Pre-Owned Rental Homes Inc., which hopes to expand beyond
Phoenix and Las Vegas to at least one other, as-yet unidentified
market. Within two years, Beazer said the number of rental homes
under the new REIT's control could number in the thousands.” Beazer has formed a REIT
that will buy and then rent single-family homes. It, and
KKR, will eventually take the REIT public. Of course, a certain
percentage of the rentals are homes that Beazer built and sold
originally, recently purchased through foreclosure auctions,
short-sales or other distressed home-buying strategies. It is
not the first - Paulson & Co., Starwood Capital Group and
Och-Ziff Capital Management LLC have expressed interest in
gathering portfolios of single-family homes with plans to rent
them out until the market turns and they can be sold for a
profit.
The
WSJ story goes on. “The company said an initial public offering
will come after the company's assets reach at least $150
million. REIT experts say that similar companies could follow,
especially if the Beazer venture is successful. According to
Census Bureau data analyzed by Green Street Advisors Inc., there
are about 25.5 million single-family rental properties, defined
by Green Street as houses with between one and four units in the
country, compared with just 18 million rental apartments in
buildings with five or more units.”
Investor
and
MI changes just continue to flow through. What's a mother to do?
Reading the actual bulletin is important, but here are some
somewhat recent changes of note:
Citibank
has updated several of its credit overlays. Following a policy
change in March, the section on FHA Loan Limits has been
removed, and the guidelines on Amended Subordinate Financing
have been clarified to indicate that they also apply to LP and
LP Open Access. Loans on PUD properties, both primary residences
and investment homes, may be a 2-unit property and should be
submitted to DU and LP as such; this affects loans registered on
or after May 19th. In light of Fannie’s release of DU Version
8.3 back in April, Citi will accept property values determined
by DU if the loan is eligible for a property fieldwork waiver.
Lenders registering their loans on the Citi Correspondent
website will now find additional fields that will allow for the
registration of up to four borrowers, including their respective
FICO scores.
Citi has clarified guidelines on subordinate lien documentation
such that when the subordinate lien is refinanced concurrently
with the first mortgage, the note, security instrument, GFE,
final TIL statement, HUD-1 Settlement Statement, maximum
permitted credit advance, and the HELOC Agreement where
appropriate must all be included in the final loan package.
Certain DU and LP guidelines have been clarified as well. DU
will not take trade lines that are reported as disputed
(disputed accounts with multiple derogatory payments, multiple
disputed trade lines) into consideration for its credit
analysis. The disputed trade line message won’t appear if
there’s only one disputed account with no derogatory payments,
but the payment for the trade line must be included in the debt
ratios. For LP Open Access, a tri-merged report is preferable,
but an in-file merged/joint credit report will also be accepted.
Citi reminds clients that they are required to comply with the
Fannie policy on lenders’ reviews of the General Services
Administration Excluded Party List or the HUD Limited Denial of
Participation List when it comes to hiring employees involved in
the origination process. The same goes for the corresponding
Freddie policy.
A few more miscellaneous Citi reminders on documentation:
lenders should supply the appraiser with all the necessary
financing data and sales concessions, which includes the sales
contract, primary and secondary financing terms, gifts, and
buydowns. When documenting a borrower’s income, all
income-related schedules and forms must be provided (W-2s,
1099s, and the like). If the borrower has requested an
extension to file their most recent tax returns, a copy of the
extension request should be provided along with all filed tax
returns from the previous two years.
In response to some improvement in the Florida, Arizona, and
Nevada markets, MGIC
is loosening up some of its underwriting guidelines for these
areas. For borrowers taking out loans of up to $625,000 on
primary residences, the minimum credit scores has been reduced
from 720 to 700, and the maximum DTI for loans that are fixed
rate for at least the first five years has been increased from
41% to 51%.
Flagstar reminds
clients that, for all FHA table funded refinance transactions,
its Funding Department must receive all FHA Refinance
pre-funding documents by the monthly deadlines so as to meet all
UFMIP refund and loan calculation deadlines (the next one is
June 25th). Funding requests should be submitted before closing
and not during the rescission period to ensure that lenders have
enough time to review and correct the HUD-1 settlement
statement. Funding will be cancelled if the necessary
documentation isn’t submitted in time, which will require the
loan to be resubmitted to Flagstar Underwriting for review and,
in certain cases, result in extra fees. All funding requests
should include a copy of the “Notice to Settlement/Escrow Agent”
closing form, RESPA 2010 compliant HUD-1 settlement statement,
MDIA compliant TILs, completed GFE History-Broker, all GFEs
provided to the borrower, verbal VOE, transaction-specific
Closing Protection letter, E&O insurance, wire instructions
on the agent’s letterhead, hazard insurance, any other required
insurances, and either the short form title policy or title
commitment.
As of Friday the 25th, Kinecta
Federal Credit Union is no longer offering the 40-year
amortization option for Jumbo ARM loans.
“Hedge funds were active buyers of lower coupons, and, in
Specified Pool space, we saw good money manager demand for call
protection 4.0s and low-pay up 3.5s. The decline in
longer-dated vol (2y10y down approx 2 normals on the day) and
shortage of afternoon supply (less than 500mm, to total 1.9BN on
the day) certainly supported the basis as well. We are turning
more negative on 30yr 4.0s as the 3.625 primary rate has now
re-appeared and the potential for a 1.50-1.75% type 10yr
environment seems more and more likely. The refi-incentive for
4.0% coupon borrowers now becomes very real (which makes the
roll look that much richer). Furthermore, 3.5s should become
increasingly attractive for investors looking to move
down-in-coupon as 3.0s take on a greater share of origination.”
What
the heck does that trader talk mean? It boils down to an
explanation of why investors are nervous about owning
higher-coupon mortgages (anything going into a 4% security).
Yesterday’s fixed income security markets continued to improve,
thanks to European problems and weak economic news here, and our
10-yr note hit a low of 1.57%. And with it came more talk
about Quantitative Easing 3 (QE3). Mortgage selling/volume
picked up, but although the 10-yr T-note improved by about .50
in price, mortgages lagged somewhat improving by about .25, and
lagged even more on consumer’s rate sheets.
Today,
prior
to the unemployment data, our 10-yr was down to 1.52%. Nonfarm
Payrolls were projected to increase to 150k from 115k with the
unemployment rate holding at 8.1%. But Payrolls were only up 69k,
and the unemployment rate was 8.2%, up from April’s 8.1%. In
addition, there were some back-month revisions (March -11k,
April -38k). Personal Spending was +.3%, but really, this, and a
few numbers due out later this morning, pale in comparison to
the disappointing employment data.
Jobs
and housing, housing and jobs…housing appears to be on the
upswing in many places, but we can’t have much of a recovery
without more folks working. And, of course, rates are great, but
it is hard to qualify without a job. That being said, folks who
have a job, and who obtained a loan a few months ago, could be
ready for a refinance already! Soon after the employment
news the 10-yr dropped to 1.47% - look for a solid improvement
in MBS prices and in rate sheets.
Puns
(Part 4 of 4)
I changed my iPod's name to "Titanic"; it's syncing now.
When chemists die, they barium.
I thought I made a mistake once, but I was wrong.
Jokes about German sausage are the wurst.
A soldier who survived mustard gas and pepper spray is now a
seasoned veteran.
I know a guy who's addicted to brake fluid. He says he can stop
any time.
How does Moses make his tea? Hebrews it.
I stayed up all night to see where the sun went. Then it dawned
on me.
This girl said she recognized me from the vegetarian club, but
I'd never met herbivore.
A guy got arrested for playing the guitar -- for fingering A
minor.
I'm reading a book about anti-gravity and I can't put it down.
If
you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR
Group web site located at
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