It is tough being retired. This
morning my wife asked me, “What are you doing today?”
I replied, “Nothing.”
She responded, “But you did that yesterday.”
I said, “I wasn’t finished.”
I called up the US Treasury yesterday to ask them how much
they’d pay me to loan them money (e.g., buy a Treasury security) for a
month. They replied, “Not only will we not pay you any interest, but
you’ll pay us interest to loan us your money!” A novel thought
– like paying for a storage unit for your junk - but it occurred
yesterday where the interest rate on 1-month T-bills was negative. (It
also happened back in December, as investors put their money into the most easily-traded
securities to help their balance sheets at the end of the quarter. I guess that
if I had a balance sheet that needed bolstering, I’d do the same. Banks prefer to carry securities on their balance
sheets instead of cash at the end of the quarter, driving up the demand for
bills, thus driving up the price, driving down the rate.)
What are the borrowers who are still making their payments
saying out there? “A promissory note means that
I am promising to repay the loan - it doesn't mean I get to walk on the loan if
the property value declines. Since the lender does not share the upside
appreciation of an investment property, why should lender be stuck with the
downside? I, as a borrower, accept both sides of the risk/reward equation: I
get the upside AND the downside. My feeling is that many borrowers, especially
for single family homes, believe that they are entitled to a 4%, no down
payment, $1,000,000 loan. And somehow, if they can't get that, that means
there is a crisis requiring taxpayer subsidy.”
US Bank’s wholesale division sent this
note to their brokers: “The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of
2009 (ARRA), provided for the FNMA/FHLMC high cost county loan limits to be
returned to the “higher of” the 2008 or 2009 loan limits. In most
Cases the 2008 limits will be the higher limits but there are several counties
(located in California, North Carolina & Virginia) where the
2009 limits were actually higher than 2008 limits. On a county by county basis
you may be able to originate loan amounts up to the $729,750 limits of 2008.
Effective immediately, for program
#3626/3627 FHLMC Super Conforming Jumbo, U.S. Bank Home Mortgage
Wholesale Division will accept loans at the revised loan limits. You may verify
specific high cost counties at the new ARRA limits by checking the following
internet site: www.ofheo.gov/Regulations.aspx?Nav=128”
GMAC's minimum FICO for FHA is 580 for
correspondents; however, they just implemented a price adjustment for FICOs
below 620. (They do not impact GMAC’s Streamlined Refi program.) For FICO
>=600 and < 620 -1.0, FICO >=580 and < 600 -1.50, and for
FICO’s >=700 +0.125.
GMAC, and others, remind us that Fannie Mae has
implemented the mandatory use of the Market Conditions Addendum to the
Appraisal Report (Form 1004MC) which is intended to provide a clear and
accurate understanding of the market trends prevalent in the subject
neighborhood. The form provides the appraiser with a structured format to report
the data and to more easily identify current market trends and conditions. The
appraiser's conclusions will be reported in the “Neighborhood”
section of the appraisal report. Appraisers should be made aware of this taking
affect April 1.
Lastly, GMAC Correspondent went along with FHA’s
Mortgagee Letter 2009-07 “Loan Limit Increases for FHA” and
announced revisions to the county limits for calendar year 2009. “The
mortgage limits are effective for loans that have final credit approval in
calendar year 2009 and will remain in effect until December 31, 2009. CL08-278
is hereby rescinded and is superseded by this announcement.”
This morning we’ve seen the February Personal Income
& Outlays report which measures consumers' ability to spend. (As you would
expect, if a consumer's income is rising, they are more likely to make
additional purchases. Normally this would be viewed as inflationary, and bad
for rates, but at this point, the markets would like to see a pick up in that
measure.) Forecasts called for a 0.1% drop in income and a 0.3% increase in
spending. Income actually dropped .2%, after January’s .2% increase, and
spending was +.2% after being +1.0% in January. The “savings rate”,
which many watch, was 4.2% in February, indicating
that households were still remaining frugal. The second report
comes from the University
of Michigan, and is
merely a revision to the March consumer sentiment index from 2 weeks ago. It is
expected to be about unchanged. The 10-yr is back down to 2.71%, and anyone
who didn’t improve their mortgage prices yesterday afternoon will do so
this morning.
A lady inserted an ad in the classifieds: “Husband
Wanted.”
Next day she received a hundred letters.
They all said the same thing: “You can have mine.”
Rob
(For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com,
or to subscribe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com)