The other day my daughter was singing to herself,
“Love to eat them mousies; Mousies what I love to eat. Bite they little
heads off, nibble on they tiny feet.” Although that has nothing to do
directly with mortgages, I hope that the girl in my UC San Diego dorm who
painted the Kliban cat poem on her wall 30 years ago isn’t being
foreclosed upon. (I know that this is a real stretch.) Yesterday the
administration unveiled a new set of incentives for mortgage servicers on 2nd
liens: the government will pay mortgage servicers (not originators) $500
upfront and $250 a year for three years for successfully modifying a second
mortgage, such as a home equity loan.
The news yesterday also included the latest mortgage growth
industry that is hiring. The Senate voted to hire hundreds more FBI agents
and prosecutors to go after mortgage fraud and make a better attempt at
dealing with the 5,000 incidents reported each month. The Senate bill is
estimated to cost more than $265 million a year for the next two years, but is
also expected to pay for itself because of the fines and penalties that would
result from more aggressive government investigations. Another 160 special FBI agents and more than 200
support staff, including forensic analysts would be hired – a
large increase from the 250 special agents currently assigned to financial
fraud cases, and the Justice Department
would hire 200 more prosecutors and civil enforcement attorneys, along with 100
support staff.
Speaking of hiring, remember Deutsche Bank’s
MortgageIT platform? Sun West Mortgage, out of California, is picking up
MortgageIT’s core platform. They are setting up the office and
training their staff, and expect to start taking new business (government &
agency products, including reverse and 203(k) products) next month. This
is yet another example of the wholesale business model surviving.
MGIC reported its seventh straight unprofitable quarter, posting a
$184.6 million loss. The loss widened from the $34.5 million they lost in the
same quarter a year ago. Chief Executive Officer Curt Culver said he’s
talking with regulators and the U.S. Treasury about raising funds to continue
offering policies.
US Bank Home Mortgage rolled out their
FNMA refinance plus program for both conforming and jumbo conforming loans. As
most brokers know, this program goes up to 105% LTV, and is being used to
reduce the monthly mortgage principal and interest payment or offer a more
stable mortgage product (i.e. refinance from an ARM to a fixed rate or a
interest only to a fixed rate amortizing). The borrower can finance closing
costs, prepaid expenses and points, and get cash back to the borrower in an
amount no more than the lesser of 2% of the balance of the new refinance
mortgage or $2,000.
“To ensure we are protecting consumers and clients,
and to aggressively mitigate fraud, the majority of Wells Fargo Wholesale
Lending’s loan options require a processed IRS Form 4506-T. Effective
May 4, 2009, the IRS will strictly enforce their policy to reject any 4506-T
that is incomplete, illegible or has any information completed after the form
is signed by the applicant/taxpayer.”
Wells correspondent announced that for
Mandatory & Best Effort Registrations and Best Effort Locks “on and
after May 4, 2009, the following Wells Fargo requirements will apply to all
Fannie Mae DU Refi Plus loans: Maximum CLTV allowed: 110%, Minimum Loan Score
allowed for primary: 620, Second home and investment: 680.”
Starting Wednesday 4/29/09 Everbank will accept the 2009
temporary loan limits up to $729,750.
GMAC Bank Correspondents should “note
that appraisals conducted in connection with single-family mortgage loans,
other than government-insured and -guaranteed loans, with application dates on
or after May 1, 2009 must conform to the Home Valuation Code of Conduct. The
Home Valuation Code of Conduct reinforces the independence of the appraiser and
enhances the overall appraisal process to provide a greater level of integrity
to the appraisal ordering process and appraiser contact. The Home Valuation
Code of Conduct applies to all conforming loan products.”
The MBAA reported that U.S. home loan
applications fell last week to the lowest level since mid-March, driven by
a big drop in refinancing demand. Refinance applications fell almost 22% in the
week ended April 24, and purchase applications were down .6%. The total loan
index was -18.1%.
Are you, as a consumer, more confident? The Conference Board
Consumer Confidence Index, up slightly last month, improved considerably in
April. The index, which samples 5,000 households, jumped from 26.9 in March to
39.2 (1985=100). Although that didn’t have a huge impact on the market, what
did cause some prices changes for the worse yesterday was the fact that our
stock market did not plummet, and this morning appears to be on the rise since
suddenly swine flu concerns may be over-stated. And although companies
around the world are exceeding profit estimates, here in the US the first three months of 2009 are expected
to be the seventh straight quarter of falling U.S. profits, the longest stretch
since at least the Great Depression.
The big news today, in addition to the $26 billion auction
of 7-year notes and the May refunding announcement of 3, 10, and 30-yr Treasury
debt next week, will be the FOMC announcement this afternoon. Look for
no change in rates, but the verbiage of the announcement can often move the
markets. We’ve already seen GDP, which measures total goods and services
output within U.S.
borders, dropped at a surprising 6.1% annual rate after shrinking 6.3% in the
fourth quarter. Output has declined for three straight quarters for the first
time since 1974-1975. After the news we find the 10-yr back at 3.0% and
mortgage security prices worse by about .125.
(Warning: PG-rated.)
So last week I checked into a motel and said to the
receptionist, "I hope the porn channel in my room is disabled."
"No," she said, "it's regular porn;
you’re a sick guy."
Rob
(For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com,
or to subscribe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com)