I asked my uncle, “According to Ann Landers, is there
anything wrong with getting into the habit of kissing a lot of people?”
He replied, “No. It got me out of the army.”
There are some clever folks out there. One of them created
this, sung to Joe Cocker's "All Night Laundry Mat Blues".
We got the all day HVCC blues
Brokers can’t use appraisers that they choose
The AMC we’re using they don’t give a spit
They take half the money
And their appraisers work is s---.
The Government hasn’t got a clue
So we sing the all day HVCC blues
Yes we do
We sing the all day HVCC blues.
Speaking of clever, cats never fly away. Huh? If you have
trouble remembering which 4 states currently account for almost half the
foreclosures, memorize that sentence. The states of California,
Nevada, Florida
and Arizona
have accounted for 46% of foreclosures. The Mortgage Bankers Association
reported that one in every eight homeowners
is either late or in foreclosure. Shouldn’t someone tell that
to the stock market? According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, “The
foreclosure rate on prime fixed-rate loans has doubled in the last year, and,
for the first time since the rapid growth of subprime lending, prime
fixed-rate loans now represent the largest share of new foreclosures. In
addition, almost half of the overall increase in foreclosure starts we saw in
the first quarter was due to the increase in prime fixed-rate loans."
After some debate, apparently the FHA will indeed allow home
buyers to apply the new $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit toward down
payments for FHA-insured homes. Home buyers using FHA-approved lenders can
apply the tax credit to their down payment in excess of 3.5% of appraised value
or their closing costs. Only my opinion, but I guess the possible problems
with the continuation of “little or no money down” are thought to
be outweighed by the National Association of Home Builders saying this will
stimulate 160,000 home sales across the nation, 101,000 of which will be by
first-time buyers who will receive the credit. Many borrowers, however,
don’t qualify, often because their income is too high.
According to a story in Reuters, “mortgage originators will have to submit fingerprints
and other personal information to federal authorities who will maintain a
database of the agents who help homebuyers secure loans. The new
standards were conceived by Congress last summer and were part of a broader
plan to help stabilize the rattled housing markets, stem foreclosures and
increase consumer protections. The Federal Reserve helped set the standards
that have been agreed to among the top federal banking regulators and that will
establish a database accessible by consumers. The Federal Bureau of
Investigations will use fingerprints to perform a criminal background check on
loan agents who must annually register under the program. The lending
industry may comment on the regulators' outline and the database is due to be
in place by the end of July. The program was conceived under the Secure and
Fair Enforcement for Mortgage Licensing Act.” http://www.reuters.com/article/gc03/idUSTRE5507IV20090601
So what are we using to gauge the economy? Yesterday the
Institute for Supply Management’s factory index rose to 42.8 in May from
40.1 in April, shrinking less than forecast. And consumers are spending less,
causing their saving rate to increase to 5.7%, which is good. Construction
Spending was up .8%, unexpectedly. All of this helped our equity markets to
rally nicely, but in turn caused the bond market to sell off, causing rates to
rise. If the economy is improving (and many say it is not) and the Treasury
continues to sell large amounts of debt to pay for the deficit, rates will have
a bias toward moving up. The Federal Reserve's program to keep mortgage
rates low by buying securities and Treasury bonds is not as successful as it was
earlier this year. So far the Fed has purchased more than $480 billion in
MBS’s out of an allowance of $1.25 trillion. They’ve also bought
$130 billion, out of $300 billion, in Treasury bonds to help keep rates low. And
by historical standards rates are still good – just not as good as they
were a few weeks ago, and not as low as any borrowers waiting to lock had
hoped.
We are seeing a little improvement this morning. Treasury
Secretary Geithner stated that there will enough demand for the record amount
of debt the US
selling, and the chairman of the China Construction Bank reiterated that the US
dollar is the main reserve currency cannot be replaced in the short term. There
is no scheduled economic news out today, aside from Pending Home Sales later
on, so perhaps it will be a quiet but better day for rates. So far the 10-yr
is at 3.62%, and mortgage prices are better than yesterday afternoon by
.250-.375.
One afternoon an investment banker was riding in his
limousine when he saw two men along the roadside eating grass. Disturbed, he
ordered his driver to stop and he got out to investigate.
He asked one man, "Why are you eating grass?"
"We don't have any money for food," the poor man replied. "We
have to eat grass."
"Well, then, you can come with me to my house and I'll feed you," the
banker said.
"But sir, I have a wife and two children with me. They are over there,
under that tree."
"Bring them along," the banker replied.
Turning to the other poor man he stated, "You come with us, also."
The second man, in a pitiful voice, then said, "But sir, I also have a
wife and SIX children with me!"
"Bring them all, as well," the banker answered.
They all entered the car, which was no easy task, even for a car as large as
the limousine was.
Once underway, one of the poor fellows turned to the banker and said,
"Sir, you are too kind. Thank you for taking all of us with you."
The banker replied, "Glad to do it. You'll really love my place. The grass
is almost a foot high."
Rob
(For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com,
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